Coronavirus Impact on Global Airlines 2020



Executive Summary: Economic Impact in Brief

Figures and estimates herein are subject to substantial changes, and will be updated
with the situation evolving and more information available.

Estimated results in brief: World total passenger traffic

The latest estimates indicate that the possible COVID-19 impact on world scheduled passenger traffic compared to Baseline (business as usual, originally-planned) would be:

  • Full year 2020 (Jan – Dec)

    • Overall reduction of 51% of seats offered by airlines
    • Overall reduction of 2,851 million passengers
    • Approx. USD 391 billion potential loss of gross passenger operating revenues of airlines

  • Full year 2021 (Jan – Jun)

    • Overall reduction of 51% of seats offered by airlines
    • Overall reduction of 2,851 million passengers
    • Approx. USD 391 billion potential loss of gross passenger operating revenues of airlines

The actual impacts will depend on duration and magnitude of the outbreak and containment measures, the degree of consumer confidence for air travel, and economic conditions, etc.

Estimated results in brief: International and domestic

  • International passenger traffic for 2020 compared to Baseline

    • Overall reduction of 67% of seats offered by airlines
    • Overall reduction of 1,444 million passengers
    • Approx. USD 262 billion potential loss of gross operating revenues of airlines

  • Domestic passenger traffic for 2020 compared to Baseline

    • Overall reduction of 40% of seats offered by airlines
    • Overall reduction of 1,407 million passengers
    • Approx. USD 128 billion potential loss of gross operating revenues of airlines
Compared to
Baseline 		Seat capacity (%) Passenger number (million) Passenger revenue (USD, billion)
Total International Domestic Total International Domestic Total International Domestic
1Q 2020 ‐18% ‐20% ‐17% ‐280 -108 ‐172 ‐35 ‐20 ‐15
2Q 2020 ‐79% -92% ‐69% ‐1,025 ‐478 ‐546 ‐135 ‐85 ‐50
3Q 2020 ‐56% ‐75% ‐42% ‐865 ‐468 ‐397 ‐122 ‐85 ‐36
4Q 2020 ‐49% ‐75% ‐31% ‐681 ‐389 ‐292 ‐99 ‐72 ‐27
Total 2020 ‐51% ‐67% ‐40% ‐2,851 ‐1,444 ‐1,407 ‐391 ‐262 ‐128
1Q 2021 -48% to ‐50% -72% to -75% -32% to 33% -634 to -673 -357 to -372 -277 to -301 -92 to -97 -66 to -69 -26 to -28
2Q 2021 -32% to -44% -49% to -69% -20% to -28% -495 to -687 -307 to -401 -188 to -286 -71 to -98 -54 to -71 -17 to -27

World passenger traffic collapses with unprecedented decline in history

World passenger traffic evolution
1945 –2020

World passenger traffic evolution 1945 –2020

Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

Comparison of passenger numbers and capacity (Slight uptick in domestic travel while international travel remained stagnant)


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

Regional difference in resilience and speed of recovery

Comparison of total seat capacity by region(7‐day average, YoY compared to 2019)


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

Approximately USD 391 billion passenger revenue loss in 2020


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand


Due to extreme uncertainty, 4 different paths are considered

Scenarios for passenger seat capacity compared to Baseline (business as usual)


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

Estimated impact on international passenger traffic and revenues by region for 2020

Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand


Estimated impact on domestic passenger traffic and revenues by region for 2020

Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

Global impact of COVID‐19 on aviation, tourism, trade and economy in 2020

  • Air passenger traffic: An overall reduction of air passengers (both international and domestic) ranging from 60% in 2020 compared to 2019 (by ICAO)
  • Airports: An estimated loss of approximately 64.2% of passenger traffic and 65% or over USD 111.8 billion airport revenues in 2020 compared to business as usual (by ACI)
  • Airlines: A 66.3% decline of revenue passenger kilometres (RPKs, both international and domestic) in 2020 compared to 2019 (by IATA)
  • Tourism: A decline in international tourism receipts of between USD 910 to 1,170 billion in 2020, compared to the USD 1.5 trillion generated in 2019, with 100% of worldwide destinations having travel restrictions (by U NWTO)
  • Trade: A fall of global merchandise trade volume by 9.2% in 2020 compared to 2019 (by WTO)
  • Global economy: A projected -4.3% to -4.4% contraction in world GDP in 2020, far worse than during the 2008–09 financial crisis (by IMF and World Bank)

Scenario Building

Scope of analysis

  • Analysis focuses on simultaneous supply shock and drop in demand

    • -  in a near-term, i.e. monthly profile from January 2020 to June 2021
    • -  in terms of scheduled passenger traffic globally

  • Taking into account the heterogeneity, distinction is made:

    • -   between international and domestic
    • -   by month (seasonality)
    • -   by six (6) geographical region and/or 50 route groups used in ICAO’s long-term traffic forecasts (LTF)

  • Analysis is based on forward-looking scenarios, which will be continuously adjusted and updated

  • Geographical disparity of international-domestic passenger traffic mix
  • Difference in market size among regions
  • Potential difference in resilience and speed of recovery
  • Outbreak timing that impacts when traffic would bottom out
  • Gap between what is scheduled and actual operations

International‐domestic passenger traffic mix exhibits significant geographical disparity

Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

Europe and Asia/Pacific accounted for over 70% of the world international traffic pre‐COVID‐19

Number of International Passengers by Region (2019, based on from/to State)


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

North America and China account for over half of world domestic passenger traffic

Number of Domestic Passengers by Route Group (2019)


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

Domestic passenger traffic often exhibits more resilience than international

Asia/Pacific and North America have experienced 20% to 25% less decline in domestic passenger traffic than international


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

Domestic passenger traffic is recovering ahead of international

Domestic passenger traffic in China started 2021 with a slower recovery


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

The outbreak timing impacts when domestic traffic bottoms out in each region

Capacity evolution of two largest domestic markets China and United States since January 2020


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

Regions with higher share of intra‐region traffic are expected to recover faster

Almost 80% of international seats offered in Asia/Pacific and Europewere for intra‐regional traffic (2019)


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

A large gap exists between what is scheduled and actual operations

Airlines announced/planned resumption of flights, however, over half of which were subsequently withdrawn


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

Informal classification to describe different types of recessions:

  • V-shaped: normal shape for recession, a brief period of sharp economic decline followed by quick/smooth recovery
  • U-shaped:prolonged contraction and muted recovery to trend line growth
  • L-shaped (depression): long-term downturn in economic activity, steep drop followed by a flat line with possibility of not returning to trend line growth
  • W-shaped: a double-dip recession, “down up down up” pattern before full recovery
  • “Nike swoosh”-shaped*: bounce back sharply but blunt quickly (* Brookings Institution/WEF)

What “recession shape” can be assumedgiven uncertainties surrounding the outlook?


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

Previous outbreaks/pandemics had a V‐shaped impact on air transport in Asia/Pacific

Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

9/11 and global financial crisis had a U/L‐shaped impact on air transport in United States


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

As overall severity and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic are still uncertain, four (4) different recovery paths under two (2) indicative scenarios are developed:

  • Baseline: counterfactual scenario, in which the COVID-19 pandemic does not occur, that is, originally-planned or business as usual
  • Scenario 1: two (2) different paths (similar to Nike swoosh- and W-shaped)
  • Scenario 2: two (2) different paths (similar to U- and L-shaped)
  • Reference: information only, based on latest airline schedules (similar to V-shaped)

What does Scenario mean?

  • Notwithstanding the elevated uncertainty surrounding the outlook, a scenario analysis could help gauge potential economic implications of the pandemic
  • Scenarios are not forecasts of what is most likely to happen. Given rapidly changing circumstances, they are merely indicative of possible paths or consequential outcomes out of many
  • The exact path (depth, length and shape) will depend upon various factors, inter alia, duration and magnitude of the outbreak and containment measures, availability of government assistance, consumer confidence, and economic conditions
  • With the situation evolving and more information available, scenarios will be adjusted as necessary

Key assumptions

  • International and domestic passenger traffic has separate scenarios/paths
  • Scenarios/paths are differentiated in terms of supply and demand, i.e.
    • -   Scale of output or seat capacity change
    • -   Degree of consumer confidence that can be translated into demand or load factor as a proxy
  • Supply and demand are influenced by:
    • -   Different timing and speed of recovery by region, international/domestic, and intra-/inter-region
    • -   Global economic contraction
  • No consideration is made to social distancing requirements on aircraft, etc.
  • Detailed scenario assumptions are summarized in Appendix B

Baseline & Reference

  • Baseline: originally-planned or business as usual

    • -   Counterfactual hypothesis that are expected to occur in the absence of COVID-19 pandemic
    • -   Supply: airlines’ originally-planned schedules supplemented by trend line growth
    • -   Demand: trend line growth of demand from 2019 (pre-COVID-19) level

  • Reference: V-shaped

    • -   Information-only scenario that reflects airlines’ most recent expectation or a “signal” of airlines’ plan to the market (not necessarily realistic)
    • -   Supply: based on latest update of airline schedules filed, which are adjusted weekly by airlines according to the expectation of the evolving situation (quite often managing capacity for a short period due to the uncertainties)
    • -   Demand: quickly returning to Baseline level

Scenario 1: Nike swoosh- and W-shaped

  • International

    • -   Path 1: Smooth capacity recovery by picking up pent-up demand but at a diminishing rate of growth
    • -   Path 1a: Capacity to start with smooth recovery but then turn back down due to over-capacity

  • Domestic

    • -   Path 1: Swift capacity rebound pushed by pent-up demand but at a diminishing rate of growth
    • -   Path 1a: Capacity to start with smooth recovery but then turn back down due to over-capacity

Scenario 2: U- and L-shaped

  • International

    • -   Path 2: Accelerating the return to trend growth after slow progression of capacity recovery
    • -   Path 2a: Capacity recovery at diminishing speed due to respite and continuous demand slump

  • Domestic

    • -   Path 2: Gradual capacity recovery, followed by the acceleration of growth
    • -   Path 2a: Capacity recovery at diminishing speed due to sluggish demand growth

In the following analysis, international and domestic scenarios having the same path number are linked with each other, although different combination of scenarios/paths would be possible

Estimated 2020 Results and Near‐term Outlook: Global

Figures and estimates herein reflect the latest operational data and schedules filed by airlines but are subject to substantial changes, and will be updated with the situation evolving and more information available.

Three (3) key impact indictors

  • Three (3) key impact indicators under four (4) paths of two (2) scenarios:

    • -   Change of passenger seat capacity (supply, %)
    • -   Change of passenger numbers (demand)
    • -   Change of gross passenger operating revenues of airlines

  • Comparison to:

    • -   Baseline scenario
    • -   2019 level
    • -   2020 level (for 2021 estimates)

  • Break-down by:

    • -   International and domestic
    • -   Month, quarter and year

Estimated impacts compared to 2019 & Baseline

Compared to 2019 Seat capacity (%) Passenger number (thousand) Passenger revenue (USD, million)
Total International Domestic Total International Domestic Total International Domestic
1Q 2020 ‐14.8% ‐16.9% ‐13.4% ‐233,912 ‐22.7% ‐89,922 ‐22.0% ‐143,990 ‐23.2% ‐29,389 ‐16,538 ‐12,852
2Q 2020 ‐78.1% ‐92.1% ‐67.8% ‐984,443 ‐86.4% ‐460,226 ‐96.6% ‐524,217 ‐79.1% ‐129,746 ‐81,993 ‐47,753
3Q 2020 ‐54.8% ‐73.9% ‐40.2% ‐821,251 ‐67.2% ‐449,405 ‐85.2% ‐371,846 ‐53.5% ‐115,835 ‐82,002 ‐33,833
4Q 2020 ‐47.6% ‐74.3% ‐29.4% ‐658,998 ‐60.2% ‐376,110 ‐86.0% ‐282,888 ‐43.0% ‐95,634 ‐69,608 ‐26,026
Total 2020 ‐49.5% ‐65.7% ‐37.9% ‐2,699 ‐60.2% ‐1,375,663 ‐74.4% ‐1,322,940 ‐50.2% ‐370,605 ‐250,141 ‐120,464
1Q 2021 ‐52.2% to ‐51.0% ‐74.4% to ‐73.2% ‐37.1% to ‐36.1% ‐659,379 to ‐635,811 ‐64.0% to ‐61.8% ‐345,699 to ‐338,314 ‐84.6% to ‐82.8% ‐313,680 to ‐297,497 ‐50.5% to ‐47.9% ‐93,131 to ‐90,173 ‐64,380 to ‐62,972 ‐28,751 to ‐27,202
2Q 2021 ‐44.7% to ‐34.9% ‐61.4% to ‐46.7% ‐32.4% to ‐26.2% ‐664,425 to ‐502,413 ‐58.3% to ‐44.1% ‐358,819 to ‐278,581 ‐75.3% to ‐58.5% ‐305,607 to ‐223,832 ‐46.1% to ‐33.8% ‐91,687 to ‐69,489 ‐63,581 to ‐49,273 ‐28,106 to ‐20,216
3Q 2021 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 2021 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 1Q/2Q 2021 ‐48.3% to ‐42.7% ‐67.5% to ‐59.1% ‐34.7% to ‐31.1% ‐1,323,805 to ‐1,138,224 ‐61.0% to ‐52.5% ‐704,518 to ‐616,895 ‐79.6% to ‐69.7% ‐619,287 to ‐521,329 ‐48.2% to ‐40.6% ‐184,818 to ‐159,662 ‐127,961 to ‐112,244 ‐56,857 to ‐47,418
Compared to Baseline Seat capacity (%) Passenger number (thousand) Passenger revenue (USD, million)
Total International Domestic Total International Domestic Total International Domestic
1Q 2020 ‐18.0% ‐20.0% ‐16.7% ‐279,917 ‐26.0% ‐108,095 ‐25.3% ‐171,821 ‐26.5% ‐35,029 ‐19,759 ‐15,269
2Q 2020 ‐78.8% ‐92.4% ‐68.7% ‐1,024,747 ‐86.9% ‐478,427 ‐96.8% ‐546,320 ‐79.8% ‐135,049 ‐85,225 ‐49,824
3Q 2020 ‐56.2% ‐74.6% ‐42.1% ‐865,024 ‐68.3% ‐468,004 ‐85.7% ‐397,020 ‐55.2% ‐121,500 ‐85,312 ‐36,188
4Q 2020 ‐48.8% ‐74.9% ‐30.9% ‐689,731 ‐61.2% ‐388,876 ‐86.3% ‐300,856 ‐44.5% ‐99,807 ‐72,094 ‐27,713
Total 2020 ‐51.1% ‐66.8% ‐39.7% ‐2,859,419 ‐61.5% ‐1,443,402 ‐75.3% ‐1,416,017 ‐51.9% ‐391,386 ‐262,390 ‐128,996
1Q 2021 ‐54.9% to ‐53.9% ‐75.8% to ‐74.7% ‐40.9% to ‐39.8% ‐730,798 to ‐707,230 ‐66.4% to ‐64.2% ‐371,544 to ‐364,159 ‐85.5% to ‐83.8% ‐359,254 to ‐343,071 ‐53.9% to ‐51.5% ‐101,912 to ‐98,954 ‐69,014 to ‐67,606 ‐32,898 to ‐31,348
2Q 2021 ‐47.8% to ‐38.5% ‐63.8% to ‐50.0% ‐35.8% to ‐29.9% ‐738,645 to ‐576,633 ‐60.9% to ‐47.5% ‐391,564 to ‐311,326 ‐76.9% to ‐61.2% ‐347,081 to ‐265,307 ‐49.3% to ‐37.7% ‐101,617 to ‐79,419 ‐69,621 to ‐55,313 ‐31,997 to ‐24,107
3Q 2021 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 2021 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 1Q/2Q 2021 ‐51.2% to ‐45.9% ‐69.4% to ‐61.6% ‐38.3% to ‐34.8% ‐1,469,443 to ‐1,283,862 ‐63.5% to ‐55.5% ‐763,107 to ‐675,485 ‐80.9% to ‐71.6% ‐706,336 to ‐608,378 ‐51.5% to ‐44.4% ‐203,529 to ‐178,373 ‐138,635 to ‐122,919 ‐64,894 to ‐55,455

Seat capacity

Seat capacity

Seat capacity

Seat Capacity (thousand) ‐ World Total International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 176,978 182,100 180,601 3,623 2.0% ‐1,499 ‐0.8% 185,913 42,942 42,942 42,942 42,942 42,942 ‐134,036 ‐75.7% ‐137,659 ‐76.2% ‐142,970 ‐76.9%
February 161,254 170,721 153,407 ‐7,847 ‐4.9% ‐17,314 ‐10.1% 174,489 39,674 39,674 39,018 38,366 41,426 ‐122,888 to ‐121,580 ‐76.2% to ‐75.4% ‐115,041 to ‐113,733 ‐75.0% to ‐74.1% ‐136,123 to ‐134,815 ‐78.0% to ‐77.3%
March 180,012 185,993 96,871 ‐83,141 ‐46.2% ‐89,121 ‐47.9% 188,739 56,259 56,259 53,025 51,446 74,252 ‐128,566 to ‐123,752 ‐71.4% to ‐68.7% ‐45,426 to ‐40,612 ‐46.9% to ‐41.9% ‐137,294 to ‐132,480 ‐72.7% to ‐70.2%
April 186,932 193,072 12,235 ‐174,698 ‐93.5% ‐180,837 ‐93.7% 199,119 76,784 63,958 68,541 63,430 143,564 ‐123,502 to ‐110,148 ‐66.1% to ‐58.9% 51,195 to 64,549 418.4% to 527.6% ‐135,689 to ‐122,335 ‐68.1% to ‐61.4%
May 196,406 202,540 13,634 ‐182,772 ‐93.1% ‐188,907 ‐93.3% 207,749 101,373 75,523 86,322 74,495 159,107 ‐121,911 to ‐95,033 ‐62.1% to ‐48.4% 60,861 to 87,740 446.4% to 643.5% ‐133,253 to ‐106,375 ‐64.1% to ‐51.2%
June 203,503 210,916 20,373 ‐183,131 ‐90.0% ‐190,544 ‐90.3% 218,921 134,582 97,201 113,110 88,509 165,655 ‐114,995 to ‐68,922 ‐56.5% to ‐33.9% 68,136 to 114,209 334.4% to 560.6% ‐130,412 to ‐84,339 ‐59.6% to ‐38.5%
July 216,729 223,515 48,106 ‐168,623 ‐77.8% ‐175,409 ‐78.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 217,510 224,145 63,311 ‐154,199 ‐70.9% ‐160,834 ‐71.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 200,919 206,601 54,611 ‐146,308 ‐72.8% ‐151,990 ‐73.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 195,761 199,203 52,395 ‐143,366 ‐73.2% ‐146,808 ‐73.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 171,168 174,618 40,601 ‐130,567 ‐76.3% ‐134,017 ‐76.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 180,939 187,587 48,010 ‐132,929 ‐73.5% ‐139,576 ‐74.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 518,244 538,814 430,879 ‐87,365 ‐16.9% ‐107,935 ‐20.0% 549,141 138,876 138,876 134,985 132,754 158,620 ‐385,490 to ‐379,368 ‐74.4% to ‐73.2% ‐298,126 to ‐292,004 ‐69.2% to ‐67.8% ‐416,388 to ‐410,266 ‐75.8% to ‐74.7%
2Q 586,842 606,529 46,241 ‐540,601 ‐92.1% ‐560,288 ‐92.4% 625,788 312,739 236,681 267,972 226,434 468,325 ‐360,408 to ‐274,103 ‐61.4% to ‐46.7% 180,193 to 266,498 389.7% to 576.3% ‐399,354 to ‐313,049 ‐63.8% to ‐50.0%
3Q 635,158 654,261 166,028 ‐469,130 ‐73.9% ‐488,233 ‐74.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 547,868 561,408 141,006 ‐406,861 ‐74.3% ‐420,402 ‐74.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 2,288,112 2,361,012 784,155 ‐1,503,957 ‐65.7% ‐1,576,857 ‐66.8% 1,174,930 451,615 375,557 402,957 359,188 626,945 ‐745,898 to ‐653,471 ‐67.5% to ‐59.1% ‐117,933 to ‐25,506 ‐24.7% to ‐5.3% ‐815,742 to ‐723,315 ‐69.4% to ‐61.6%
Seat Capacity (thousand) ‐ World Total Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 261,967 270,837 265,303 3,337 1.3% ‐5,534 ‐2.0% 278,707 163,157 163,157 163,157 163,157 163,157 ‐98,809 ‐37.7% ‐102,146 ‐38.5% ‐115,550 ‐41.5%
February 239,777 253,127 209,236 ‐30,541 ‐12.7% ‐43,890 ‐17.3% 259,006 154,063 154,063 152,625 150,075 180,522 ‐89,702 to ‐85,714 ‐37.4% to ‐35.7% ‐59,161 to ‐55,173 ‐28.3% to ‐26.4% ‐108,931 to ‐104,943 ‐42.1% to ‐40.5%
March 264,232 272,047 188,615 ‐75,616 ‐28.6% ‐83,432 ‐30.7% 276,428 172,573 172,573 169,040 168,221 239,507 ‐96,010 to ‐91,659 ‐36.3% to ‐34.7% ‐20,394 to ‐16,042 ‐10.8% to ‐8.5% ‐108,207 to ‐103,855 ‐39.1% to ‐37.6%
April 258,338 264,499 69,753 ‐188,585 ‐73.0% ‐194,747 ‐73.6% 270,598 175,919 170,182 169,981 167,691 240,745 ‐90,647 to ‐82,420 ‐35.1% to ‐31.9% 97,939 to 106,166 140.4% to 152.2% ‐102,907 to ‐94,679 ‐38.0% to ‐35.0%
May 268,542 276,163 77,868 ‐190,674 ‐71.0% ‐198,295 ‐71.8% 283,309 197,835 183,587 188,573 181,723 251,814 ‐86,819 to ‐70,707 ‐32.3% to ‐26.3% 103,855 to 119,967 133.4% to 154.1% ‐101,586 to ‐85,474 ‐35.9% to ‐30.2%
June 266,508 274,988 108,085 ‐158,423 ‐59.4% ‐166,903 ‐60.7% 281,455 211,514 195,333 200,712 186,937 248,364 ‐79,571 to ‐54,993 ‐29.9% to ‐20.6% 78,852 to 103,430 73.0% to 95.7% ‐94,518 to ‐69,941 ‐33.6% to ‐24.8%
July 281,611 291,592 156,596 ‐125,015 ‐44.4% ‐134,996 ‐46.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 279,906 286,688 173,728 ‐106,178 ‐37.9% ‐112,961 ‐39.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 265,750 274,756 164,001 ‐101,749 ‐38.3% ‐110,755 ‐40.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 273,774 279,499 186,635 ‐87,139 ‐31.8% ‐92,865 ‐33.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 260,029 264,639 183,392 ‐76,638 ‐29.5% ‐81,247 ‐30.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 267,385 274,568 195,429 ‐71,956 ‐26.9% ‐79,139 ‐28.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 765,975 796,011 663,155 ‐102,820 ‐13.4% ‐132,856 ‐16.7% 814,141 489,793 489,793 484,822 481,453 583,187 ‐284,521 to ‐276,182 ‐37.1% to ‐36.1% ‐181,701 to ‐173,362 ‐27.4% to ‐26.1% ‐332,688 to ‐324,348 ‐40.9% to ‐39.8%
2Q 793,388 815,650 255,705 ‐537,683 ‐67.8% ‐559,945 ‐68.7% 835,362 585,268 549,102 559,267 536,351 740,923 ‐257,037 to ‐208,120 ‐32.4% to ‐26.2% 280,646 to 329,563 109.8% to 128.9% ‐299,011 to ‐250,094 ‐35.8% to ‐29.9%
3Q 827,267 853,036 494,325 ‐332,942 ‐40.2% ‐358,711 ‐42.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 801,189 818,706 565,456 ‐235,733 ‐29.4% ‐253,250 ‐30.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 3,187,818 3,283,402 1,978,640 ‐1,209,178 ‐37.9% ‐1,304,762 ‐39.7% 1,649,503 1,075,061 1,038,895 1,044,089 1,017,805 1,324,110 ‐541,558 to ‐484,302 ‐34.7% to ‐31.1% 98,945 to 156,201 10.8% to 17.0% ‐631,699 to ‐574,442 ‐38.3% to ‐34.8%

Passenger number


Drastic capacity cut along with dramatic drop in demand

Passenger number

Passenger Number (thousand) ‐ World Total International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 138,869 143,559 144,651 5,782 4.2% 1,092 0.8% 146,430 20,119 20,119 20,119 20,119 20,119 ‐118,750 ‐85.5% ‐124,532 ‐86.1% ‐126,311 ‐86.3%
February 126,274 134,312 113,965 ‐12,309 ‐9.7% ‐20,347 ‐15.1% 137,129 19,572 19,572 18,658 17,763 21,301 ‐108,512 to ‐106,702 ‐85.9% to ‐84.5% ‐96,203 to ‐94,393 ‐84.4% to ‐82.8% ‐119,366 to ‐117,557 ‐87.0% to ‐85.7%
March 143,342 148,787 59,947 ‐83,396 ‐58.2% ‐88,841 ‐59.7% 150,771 30,480 28,404 27,356 24,905 41,800 ‐118,437 to ‐112,862 ‐82.6% to ‐78.7% ‐35,042 to ‐29,467 ‐58.5% to ‐49.2% ‐125,866 to ‐120,291 ‐83.5% to ‐79.8%
April 152,775 158,563 3,455 ‐149,319 ‐97.7% ‐155,108 ‐97.8% 163,234 46,132 33,734 38,204 32,136 89,192 ‐120,638 to ‐106,642 ‐79.0% to ‐69.8% 28,681 to 42,677 830.1% to 1235.1% ‐131,097 to ‐117,101 ‐80.3% to ‐71.7%
May 155,717 161,145 4,251 ‐151,466 ‐97.3% ‐156,894 ‐97.4% 164,792 61,642 40,120 48,005 37,030 99,940 ‐118,687 to ‐94,075 ‐76.2% to ‐60.4% 32,779 to 57,391 771.1% to 1350.1% ‐127,762 to ‐103,150 ‐77.5% to ‐62.6%
June 167,747 174,732 8,306 ‐159,440 ‐95.0% ‐166,425 ‐95.2% 180,958 89,883 57,363 69,959 48,254 113,824 ‐119,493 to ‐77,864 ‐71.2% to ‐46.4% 39,947 to 81,577 480.9% to 982.1% ‐132,704 to ‐91,075 ‐73.3% to ‐50.3%
July 182,234 188,889 22,578 ‐159,657 ‐87.6% ‐166,311 ‐88.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 183,824 190,357 31,247 ‐152,577 ‐83.0% ‐159,111 ‐83.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 161,695 167,106 24,523 ‐137,171 ‐84.8% ‐142,582 ‐85.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 156,574 160,000 22,468 ‐134,106 ‐85.7% ‐137,531 ‐86.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 135,195 138,497 16,686 ‐118,509 ‐87.7% ‐121,812 ‐88.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 145,817 151,856 22,323 ‐123,494 ‐84.7% ‐129,533 ‐85.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 408,486 426,658 318,563 ‐89,922 ‐22.0% ‐108,095 ‐25.3% 434,330 70,171 68,095 66,133 62,787 83,220 ‐345,699 to ‐338,314 ‐84.6% to ‐82.8% ‐255,777 to ‐248,392 ‐80.3% to ‐78.0% ‐371,544 to ‐364,159 ‐85.5% to ‐83.8%
2Q 476,238 494,440 16,012 ‐460,226 ‐96.6% ‐478,427 ‐96.8% 508,984 197,658 131,217 156,168 117,420 302,956 ‐358,819 to ‐278,581 ‐75.3% to ‐58.5% 101,407 to 181,645 633.3% to 1134.4% ‐391,564 to ‐311,326 ‐76.9% to ‐61.2%
3Q 527,753 546,352 78,348 ‐449,405 ‐85.2% ‐468,004 ‐85.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 437,587 450,353 61,477 ‐376,110 ‐86.0% ‐388,876 ‐86.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 1,850,064 1,917,803 474,401 ‐1,375,663 ‐74.4% ‐1,443,402 ‐75.3% 943,314 267,829 199,312 222,301 180,206 386,176 ‐704,518 to ‐616,895 ‐79.6% to ‐69.7% ‐154,369 to ‐66,747 ‐46.1% to ‐19.9% ‐763,107 to ‐675,485 ‐80.9% to ‐71.6%
Passenger Number (thousand) ‐ World Total Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 205,889 214,046 208,109 2,220 1.1% ‐5,937 ‐2.8% 221,296 100,440 100,440 100,440 100,440 100,440 ‐105,449 ‐51.2% ‐107,669 ‐51.7% ‐120,857 ‐54.6%
February 195,599 207,636 160,206 ‐35,393 ‐18.1% ‐47,430 ‐22.8% 213,448 101,914 101,914 99,702 96,776 124,497 ‐98,823 to ‐93,685 ‐50.5% to ‐47.9% ‐63,430 to ‐58,292 ‐39.6% to ‐36.4% ‐116,672 to ‐111,534 ‐54.7% to ‐52.3%
March 219,524 227,162 108,708 ‐110,817 ‐50.5% ‐118,454 ‐52.1% 231,842 121,162 114,169 113,668 110,116 174,651 ‐109,408 to ‐98,362 ‐49.8% to ‐44.8% 1,409 to 12,454 1.3% to 11.5% ‐121,725 to ‐110,680 ‐52.5% to ‐47.7%
April 213,930 220,133 27,357 ‐186,573 ‐87.2% ‐192,776 ‐87.6% 226,123 127,259 111,981 115,541 109,162 179,278 ‐104,768 to ‐86,671 ‐49.0% to ‐40.5% 81,805 to 99,902 299.0% to 365.2% ‐116,962 to ‐98,865 ‐51.7% to ‐43.7%
May 222,878 230,346 43,785 ‐179,093 ‐80.4% ‐186,560 ‐81.0% 237,295 147,260 123,987 130,769 119,953 193,541 ‐102,925 to ‐75,618 ‐46.2% to ‐33.9% 76,168 to 103,475 174.0% to 236.3% ‐117,342 to ‐90,035 ‐49.4% to ‐37.9%
June 226,049 234,482 67,499 ‐158,550 ‐70.1% ‐166,983 ‐71.2% 240,914 164,507 138,183 145,949 128,136 199,811 ‐97,914 to ‐61,543 ‐43.3% to ‐27.2% 60,637 to 97,008 89.8% to 143.7% ‐112,778 to ‐76,407 ‐46.8% to ‐31.7%
July 240,556 250,431 98,503 ‐142,053 ‐59.1% ‐151,928 ‐60.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 237,365 244,224 110,320 ‐127,045 ‐53.5% ‐133,905 ‐54.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 216,553 224,995 113,807 ‐102,747 ‐47.4% ‐111,188 ‐49.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 226,258 232,206 130,266 ‐95,992 ‐42.4% ‐101,940 ‐43.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 211,808 216,711 121,122 ‐90,686 ‐42.8% ‐95,589 ‐44.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 219,737 226,854 123,527 ‐96,210 ‐43.8% ‐103,327 ‐45.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 621,012 648,844 477,023 ‐143,990 ‐23.2% ‐171,821 ‐26.5% 666,586 323,516 316,523 313,809 307,332 399,588 ‐313,680 to ‐297,497 ‐50.5% to ‐47.9% ‐169,691 to ‐153,507 ‐35.6% to ‐32.2% ‐359,254 to ‐343,071 ‐53.9% to ‐51.5%
2Q 662,858 684,961 138,641 ‐524,217 ‐79.1% ‐546,320 ‐79.8% 704,332 439,025 374,151 392,258 357,251 572,630 ‐305,607 to ‐223,832 ‐46.1% to ‐33.8% 218,610 to 300,384 157.7% to 216.7% ‐347,081 to ‐265,307 ‐49.3% to ‐37.7%
3Q 694,475 719,650 322,630 ‐371,846 ‐53.5% ‐397,020 ‐55.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 657,803 675,771 374,915 ‐282,888 ‐43.0% ‐300,856 ‐44.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 2,636,148 2,729,225 1,313,208 ‐1,322,940 ‐50.2% ‐1,416,017 ‐51.9% 1,370,919 762,541 690,674 706,067 664,583 972,219 ‐619,287 to ‐521,329 ‐48.2% to ‐40.6% 48,919 to 146,877 7.9% to 23.9% ‐706,336 to ‐608,378 ‐51.5% to ‐44.4%

Passenger revenue


Passenger revenue

Passenger revenue

Passenger revenue (USD, million) ‐ World Total International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 26,170 27,114 27,464 1,294 4.9% 350 1.3% 27,730 3,868 3,868 3,868 3,868 3,868 ‐22,302 ‐85.2% ‐23,596 ‐85.9% ‐23,862 ‐86.0%
February 23,567 25,037 20,977 ‐2,590 ‐11.0% ‐4,060 ‐16.2% 25,499 3,797 3,797 3,615 3,439 4,143 ‐20,128 to ‐19,770 ‐85.4% to ‐83.9% ‐17,538 to ‐17,180 ‐83.6% to ‐81.9% ‐22,061 to ‐21,702 ‐86.5% to ‐85.1%
March 26,649 27,457 11,407 ‐15,242 ‐57.2% ‐16,049 ‐58.5% 27,791 5,749 5,348 5,165 4,699 7,828 ‐21,950 to ‐20,900 ‐82.4% to ‐78.4% ‐6,708 to ‐5,658 ‐58.8% to ‐49.6% ‐23,092 to ‐22,042 ‐83.1% to ‐79.3%
April 27,581 28,574 722 ‐26,859 ‐97.4% ‐27,852 ‐97.5% 29,462 8,500 6,247 7,060 5,943 16,085 ‐21,638 to ‐19,081 ‐78.5% to ‐69.2% 5,221 to 7,778 723.5% to 1077.8% ‐23,519 to ‐20,962 ‐79.8% to ‐71.2%
May 27,736 28,837 842 ‐26,894 ‐97.0% ‐27,995 ‐97.1% 29,655 11,209 7,364 8,764 6,785 18,009 ‐20,951 to ‐16,527 ‐75.5% to ‐59.6% 5,943 to 10,368 706.1% to 1231.8% ‐22,871 to ‐18,446 ‐77.1% to ‐62.2%
June 29,710 30,847 1,470 ‐28,240 ‐95.1% ‐29,378 ‐95.2% 31,949 16,045 10,344 12,532 8,718 20,557 ‐20,991 to ‐13,665 ‐70.7% to ‐46.0% 7,249 to 14,575 493.3% to 991.8% ‐23,231 to ‐15,905 ‐72.7% to ‐49.8%
July 32,311 33,472 3,343 ‐28,968 ‐89.7% ‐30,130 ‐90.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 32,648 33,853 4,483 ‐28,164 ‐86.3% ‐29,369 ‐86.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 28,633 29,576 3,763 ‐24,869 ‐86.9% ‐25,813 ‐87.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 28,049 28,741 3,752 ‐24,297 ‐86.6% ‐24,989 ‐86.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 25,200 25,884 3,166 ‐22,033 ‐87.4% ‐22,717 ‐87.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 27,503 28,613 4,226 ‐23,277 ‐84.6% ‐24,387 ‐85.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 76,386 79,608 59,849 ‐16,538 ‐21.7% ‐19,759 ‐24.8% 81,021 13,415 13,014 12,648 12,006 15,840 ‐64,380 to ‐62,972 ‐84.3% to ‐82.4% ‐47,842 to ‐46,434 ‐79.9% to ‐77.6% ‐69,014 to ‐67,606 ‐85.2% to ‐83.4%
2Q 85,026 88,258 3,033 ‐81,993 ‐96.4% ‐85,225 ‐96.6% 91,066 35,754 23,956 28,356 21,446 54,651 ‐63,581 to ‐49,273 ‐74.8% to ‐57.9% 18,413 to 32,721 607.1% to 1078.9% ‐69,621 to ‐55,313 ‐76.5% to ‐60.7%
3Q 93,592 96,901 11,589 ‐82,002 ‐87.6% ‐85,312 ‐88.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 80,753 83,238 11,145 ‐69,608 ‐86.2% ‐72,094 ‐86.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 335,757 348,005 85,615 ‐250,141 ‐74.5% ‐262,390 ‐75.4% 172,087 49,168 36,969 41,004 33,452 70,491 ‐127,961 to ‐112,244 ‐79.3% to ‐69.5% ‐29,429 to ‐13,713 ‐46.8% to ‐21.8% ‐138,635 to ‐122,919 ‐80.6% to ‐71.4%
Passenger revenue (USD, million) ‐ World Total Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 18,474 19,168 18,746 272 1.5% ‐422 ‐2.2% 19,855 8,844 8,844 8,844 8,844 8,844 ‐9,630 ‐52.1% ‐9,902 ‐52.8% ‐11,011 ‐55.5%
February 17,574 18,644 14,585 ‐2,989 ‐17.0% ‐4,059 ‐21.8% 19,199 9,021 9,021 8,811 8,543 10,889 ‐9,031 to ‐8,553 ‐51.4% to ‐48.7% ‐6,042 to ‐5,564 ‐41.4% to ‐38.1% ‐10,656 to ‐10,178 ‐55.5% to ‐53.0%
March 19,962 20,616 9,828 ‐10,134 ‐50.8% ‐10,789 ‐52.3% 21,103 10,944 10,269 10,218 9,872 15,437 ‐10,090 to ‐9,018 ‐50.5% to ‐45.2% 45 to 1,116 0.5% to 11.4% ‐11,230 to ‐10,159 ‐53.2% to ‐48.1%
April 19,422 19,990 2,450 ‐16,971 ‐87.4% ‐17,539 ‐87.7% 20,559 11,553 10,083 10,418 9,799 16,769 ‐9,623 to ‐7,869 ‐49.5% to ‐40.5% 7,348 to 9,103 299.9% to 371.5% ‐10,760 to ‐9,005 ‐52.3% to ‐43.8%
May 20,312 20,997 4,036 ‐16,276 ‐80.1% ‐16,961 ‐80.8% 21,656 13,474 11,248 11,879 10,838 18,257 ‐9,473 to ‐6,838 ‐46.6% to ‐33.7% 6,802 to 9,438 168.6% to 233.9% ‐10,818 to ‐8,182 ‐50.0% to ‐37.8%
June 20,635 21,454 6,130 ‐14,505 ‐70.3% ‐15,324 ‐71.4% 22,045 15,126 12,604 13,331 11,626 18,933 ‐9,009 to ‐5,510 ‐43.7% to ‐26.7% 5,496 to 8,996 89.7% to 146.8% ‐10,419 to ‐6,920 ‐47.3% to ‐31.4%
July 21,892 22,850 8,877 ‐13,015 ‐59.5% ‐13,973 ‐61.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 21,513 22,129 10,003 ‐11,510 ‐53.5% ‐12,126 ‐54.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 19,486 20,267 10,178 ‐9,308 ‐47.8% ‐10,089 ‐49.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 20,412 20,987 11,603 ‐8,809 ‐43.2% ‐9,384 ‐44.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 18,963 19,399 10,695 ‐8,268 ‐43.6% ‐8,704 ‐44.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 19,836 20,513 10,887 ‐8,949 ‐45.1% ‐9,625 ‐46.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 56,010 58,428 43,159 ‐12,852 ‐22.9% ‐15,269 ‐26.1% 60,157 28,809 28,134 27,873 27,259 35,170 ‐28,751 to ‐27,202 ‐51.3% to ‐48.6% ‐15,900 to ‐14,350 ‐36.8% to ‐33.2% ‐32,898 to ‐31,348 ‐54.7% to ‐52.1%
2Q 60,369 62,441 12,616 ‐47,753 ‐79.1% ‐49,824 ‐79.8% 64,260 40,153 33,935 35,628 32,263 53,959 ‐28,106 to ‐20,216 ‐46.6% to ‐33.5% 19,647 to 27,537 155.7% to 218.3% ‐31,997 to ‐24,107 ‐49.8% to ‐37.5%
3Q 62,891 65,246 29,058 ‐33,833 ‐53.8% ‐36,188 ‐55.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 59,211 60,898 33,185 ‐26,026 ‐44.0% ‐27,713 ‐45.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 238,482 247,013 118,018 ‐120,464 ‐50.5% ‐128,996 ‐52.2% 124,416 68,962 62,069 63,500 59,522 89,129 ‐56,857 to ‐47,418 ‐48.9% to ‐40.7% 3,747 to 13,187 6.7% to 23.6% ‐64,894 to ‐55,455 ‐52.2% to ‐44.6%


Estimated 2020 Results and Near‐term Outlook:Region Breakdown

Figures and estimates herein reflect the latest operational data and schedules filed by airlines but are subject to substantial changes, and will be updated with the situation evolving and more information available.

Breakdown by ICAO statistical region

  • Regional breakdown follows ICAO’s six (6) statistical regions (Doc 9060)
  • The same key impact indicators are presented under four (4) paths of two (2) scenarios, in comparison to Baseline scenario, 2019 level and 2020 level, and by international and domestic, as well as month, quarter and year
  • To avoid double counting:
    • -   Number of “international” passengers departing from each country and territory are aggregated in each region
    • -   Gross passenger operating revenues of all airlines serving “international” routes from each country and territory are aggregated at regional level
  • Appendix C presents actual results from January to November 2020 by route group (40 international and 10 domestic route groups)

Seat capacity change compared to 2019: International + Domestic


Seat capacity change compared to 2019: International + Domestic

Seat capacity change compared to 2019: International


Seat capacity change compared to 2019: International

Seat capacity change compared to 2019: Domestic


Seat capacity change compared to 2019: Domestic

Passenger number change compared to 2019: International + Domestic


Passenger number change compared to 2019: International + Domestic

Passenger number change compared to 2019: International


Passenger number change compared to 2019: International

Passenger number change compared to 2019: Domestic


Passenger number change compared to 2019: Domestic

Passenger revenue change compared to 2019: International + Domestic


Passenger revenue change compared to 2019: International + Domestic

Passenger revenue change compared to 2019: International


Passenger revenue change compared to 2019: International

Passenger revenue change compared to 2019: Domestic


Passenger revenue change compared to 2019: Domestic
  Compared to 2019 Seat capacity (%) Passenger number (thousand) Passenger revenue (USD, million)
Total International Domestic Total International Domestic Total International Domestic
1Q 2020 ‐9.2% ‐10.0% ‐7.9% ‐3,972 ‐14.7% ‐2,446 ‐14.4% ‐1,526 ‐15.2% ‐639 ‐501 ‐138
2Q 2020 ‐93.6% ‐93.4% ‐93.9% ‐27,059 ‐97.9% ‐17,663 ‐97.9% ‐9,396 ‐97.8% ‐4,633 ‐3,781 ‐852
3Q 2020 ‐74.3% ‐76.3% ‐70.3% ‐27,055 ‐85.5% ‐18,436 ‐87.6% ‐8,619 ‐81.3% ‐4,719 ‐3,938 ‐781
4Q 2020 ‐54.0% ‐59.6% ‐44.9% ‐19,818 ‐68.7% ‐13,604 ‐75.3% ‐6,214 ‐57.7% ‐3,528 ‐2,964 ‐563
Total 2020 ‐58.3% ‐60.8% ‐53.7% ‐77,905 ‐67.7% ‐52,150 ‐70.4% ‐25,755 ‐62.8% ‐13,519 ‐11,184 ‐2,335
1Q 2021 ‐47.0% to ‐45.6% ‐49.7% to ‐48.3% ‐42.5% to ‐41.0% ‐16,474 to ‐15,768 ‐61.0% to ‐58.4% ‐11,149 to ‐10,706 ‐65.8% to ‐63.2% ‐5,325 to ‐5,061 ‐53.0% to ‐50.4% ‐2,917 to ‐2,797 ‐2,434 to ‐2,338 ‐483 to ‐459
2Q 2021 ‐38.6% to ‐29.3% ‐38.5% to ‐28.0% ‐38.9% to ‐31.7% ‐15,016 to ‐11,071 ‐54.3% to ‐40.1% ‐10,250 to ‐7,452 ‐56.8% to ‐41.3% ‐4,767 to ‐3,619 ‐49.6% to ‐37.7% ‐2,608 to ‐1,900 ‐2,176 to ‐1,572 ‐432 to ‐328
3Q 2021 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 2021 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 1Q/2Q 2021 ‐42.8% to ‐37.4% ‐43.9% to ‐37.9% ‐40.8% to ‐36.4% ‐31,490 to ‐26,839 ‐57.6% to ‐49.1% ‐21,398 to ‐18,158 ‐61.2% to ‐51.9% ‐10,092 to ‐8,681 ‐51.3% to ‐44.2% ‐5,525 to ‐4,697 ‐4,610 to ‐3,910 ‐915 to ‐787

Seat capacity


Seat capacity

Seat capacity

Seat Capacity (thousand) ‐ Africa International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 8,171 8,853 8,471 300 3.7% ‐382 ‐4.3% 9,075 4,005 4,005 4,005 4,005 4,005 ‐4,166 ‐51.0% ‐4,465 ‐52.7% ‐5,070 ‐55.9%
February 7,203 8,142 7,688 485 6.7% ‐454 ‐5.6% 8,400 3,654 3,654 3,593 3,533 3,679 ‐3,670 to ‐3,549 ‐50.9% to ‐49.3% ‐4,155 to ‐4,034 ‐54.0% to ‐52.5% ‐4,867 to ‐4,746 ‐57.9% to ‐56.5%
March 8,114 8,793 4,981 ‐3,133 ‐38.6% ‐3,812 ‐43.3% 8,903 4,493 4,493 4,351 4,281 5,405 ‐3,834 to ‐3,621 ‐47.2% to ‐44.6% ‐701 to ‐488 ‐14.1% to ‐9.8% ‐4,622 to ‐4,409 ‐51.9% to ‐49.5%
April 8,048 8,741 393 ‐7,655 ‐95.1% ‐8,348 ‐95.5% 9,245 5,159 4,789 4,879 4,695 6,851 ‐3,353 to ‐2,889 ‐41.7% to ‐35.9% 4,302 to 4,766 1094.7% to 1212.9% ‐4,550 to ‐4,086 ‐49.2% to ‐44.2%
May 7,984 8,719 495 ‐7,489 ‐93.8% ‐8,224 ‐94.3% 9,285 5,728 5,058 5,275 4,916 7,103 ‐3,068 to ‐2,256 ‐38.4% to ‐28.3% 4,421 to 5,233 893.6% to 1057.7% ‐4,369 to ‐3,557 ‐47.1% to ‐38.3%
June 8,495 9,291 727 ‐7,768 ‐91.4% ‐8,564 ‐92.2% 9,964 6,781 5,867 6,179 5,485 7,177 ‐3,010 to ‐1,714 ‐35.4% to ‐20.2% 4,758 to 6,054 654.6% to 832.8% ‐4,478 to ‐3,183 ‐44.9% to ‐31.9%
July 9,364 9,969 1,731 ‐7,634 ‐81.5% ‐8,238 ‐82.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 9,643 10,171 2,349 ‐7,294 ‐75.6% ‐7,822 ‐76.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 8,574 9,168 2,448 ‐6,126 ‐71.5% ‐6,721 ‐73.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 8,296 8,800 3,075 ‐5,221 ‐62.9% ‐5,725 ‐65.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 7,916 8,486 3,140 ‐4,776 ‐60.3% ‐5,346 ‐63.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 8,562 9,275 3,799 ‐4,762 ‐55.6% ‐5,476 ‐59.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 23,488 25,788 21,140 ‐2,348 ‐10.0% ‐4,648 ‐18.0% 26,378 12,153 12,153 11,950 11,819 13,090 ‐11,669 to ‐11,336 ‐49.7% to ‐48.3% ‐9,321 to ‐8,987 ‐44.1% to ‐42.5% ‐14,559 to ‐14,225 ‐55.2% to ‐53.9%
2Q 24,527 26,751 1,615 ‐22,913 ‐93.4% ‐25,137 ‐94.0% 28,493 17,668 15,714 16,333 15,096 21,130 ‐9,431 to ‐6,859 ‐38.5% to ‐28.0% 13,481 to 16,053 835.0% to 994.2% ‐13,397 to ‐10,825 ‐47.0% to ‐38.0%
3Q 27,581 29,308 6,527 ‐21,054 ‐76.3% ‐22,781 ‐77.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 24,774 26,561 10,015 ‐14,759 ‐59.6% ‐16,547 ‐62.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 100,370 108,409 39,296 ‐61,074 ‐60.8% ‐69,113 ‐63.8% 54,871 29,820 27,867 28,283 26,915 34,220 ‐21,101 to ‐18,195 ‐43.9% to ‐37.9% 4,161 to 7,066 18.3% to 31.1% ‐27,956 to ‐25,051 ‐50.9% to ‐45.7%
Seat Capacity (thousand) ‐ Africa Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 4,877 5,119 4,897 21 0.4% ‐221 ‐4.3% 5,411 2,748 2,748 2,748 2,748 2,748 ‐2,128 ‐43.6% ‐2,149 ‐43.9% ‐2,662 ‐49.2%
February 4,366 4,682 4,606 240 5.5% ‐75 ‐1.6% 4,882 2,596 2,596 2,554 2,512 3,146 ‐1,854 to ‐1,770 ‐42.5% to ‐40.5% ‐2,094 to ‐2,010 ‐45.5% to ‐43.6% ‐2,370 to ‐2,286 ‐48.5% to ‐46.8%
March 4,767 4,965 3,403 ‐1,364 ‐28.6% ‐1,562 ‐31.5% 5,106 2,919 2,919 2,815 2,794 3,874 ‐1,974 to ‐1,848 ‐41.4% to ‐38.8% ‐609 to ‐484 ‐17.9% to ‐14.2% ‐2,313 to ‐2,187 ‐45.3% to ‐42.8%
April 4,541 4,627 157 ‐4,384 ‐96.5% ‐4,469 ‐96.6% 4,651 2,835 2,694 2,682 2,625 3,383 ‐1,916 to ‐1,706 ‐42.2% to ‐37.6% 2,468 to 2,678 1571.7% to 1705.4% ‐2,026 to ‐1,816 ‐43.6% to ‐39.0%
May 4,404 4,566 209 ‐4,195 ‐95.3% ‐4,357 ‐95.4% 4,633 3,020 2,815 2,838 2,708 3,376 ‐1,696 to ‐1,383 ‐38.5% to ‐31.4% 2,499 to 2,811 1195.7% to 1345.2% ‐1,925 to ‐1,613 ‐41.6% to ‐34.8%
June 4,466 4,632 448 ‐4,018 ‐90.0% ‐4,184 ‐90.3% 4,737 3,310 3,069 3,095 2,857 3,322 ‐1,609 to ‐1,156 ‐36.0% to ‐25.9% 2,409 to 2,862 537.8% to 638.8% ‐1,880 to ‐1,427 ‐39.7% to ‐30.1%
July 4,770 4,874 1,107 ‐3,663 ‐76.8% ‐3,767 ‐77.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 4,836 4,843 1,532 ‐3,304 ‐68.3% ‐3,311 ‐68.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 4,800 4,881 1,639 ‐3,161 ‐65.9% ‐3,243 ‐66.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 5,017 5,163 2,338 ‐2,679 ‐53.4% ‐2,825 ‐54.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 4,954 5,180 2,581 ‐2,373 ‐47.9% ‐2,598 ‐50.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 5,202 5,554 3,446 ‐1,756 ‐33.8% ‐2,108 ‐38.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 14,010 14,765 12,907 ‐1,103 ‐7.9% ‐1,859 ‐12.6% 15,399 8,263 8,263 8,118 8,054 9,769 ‐5,956 to ‐5,746 ‐42.5% to ‐41.0% ‐4,853 to ‐4,643 ‐37.6% to ‐36.0% ‐7,345 to ‐7,136 ‐47.7% to ‐46.3%
2Q 13,411 13,824 814 ‐12,597 ‐93.9% ‐13,010 ‐94.1% 14,021 9,165 8,579 8,614 8,190 10,080 ‐5,221 to ‐4,246 ‐38.9% to ‐31.7% 7,376 to 8,351 906.1% to 1025.9% ‐5,831 to ‐4,856 ‐41.6% to ‐34.6%
3Q 14,405 14,599 4,278 ‐10,128 ‐70.3% ‐10,321 ‐70.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 15,172 15,896 8,365 ‐6,807 ‐44.9% ‐7,531 ‐47.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 56,999 59,084 26,364 ‐30,635 ‐53.7% ‐32,721 ‐55.4% 29,420 17,429 16,842 16,732 16,244 19,849 ‐11,176 to ‐9,992 ‐40.8% to ‐36.4% 2,524 to 3,708 18.4% to 27.0% ‐13,176 to ‐11,992 ‐44.8% to ‐40.8%

Passenger number


Passenger number

Passenger number

Passenger Number (thousand) ‐ Africa International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 5,871 6,378 6,206 335 5.7% ‐172 ‐2.7% 6,558 1,953 1,953 1,953 1,953 1,953 ‐3,919 ‐66.7% ‐4,253 ‐68.5% ‐4,605 ‐70.2%
February 5,149 5,832 5,305 156 3.0% ‐527 ‐9.0% 6,037 1,851 1,851 1,780 1,710 1,946 ‐3,440 to ‐3,298 ‐66.8% to ‐64.0% ‐3,596 to ‐3,454 ‐67.8% to ‐65.1% ‐4,327 to ‐4,186 ‐71.7% to ‐69.3%
March 5,929 6,432 2,992 ‐2,937 ‐49.5% ‐3,440 ‐53.5% 6,530 2,439 2,306 2,278 2,139 3,049 ‐3,791 to ‐3,490 ‐63.9% to ‐58.9% ‐854 to ‐553 ‐28.5% to ‐18.5% ‐4,392 to ‐4,091 ‐67.2% to ‐62.6%
April 6,091 6,646 71 ‐6,020 ‐98.8% ‐6,574 ‐98.9% 7,074 3,077 2,582 2,751 2,467 4,270 ‐3,623 to ‐3,013 ‐59.5% to ‐49.5% 2,396 to 3,006 3367.4% to 4224.6% ‐4,606 to ‐3,996 ‐65.1% to ‐56.5%
May 5,633 6,157 100 ‐5,533 ‐98.2% ‐6,057 ‐98.4% 6,571 3,260 2,577 2,797 2,389 4,188 ‐3,244 to ‐2,374 ‐57.6% to ‐42.1% 2,289 to 3,159 2283.3% to 3151.5% ‐4,182 to ‐3,312 ‐63.6% to ‐50.4%
June 6,311 6,941 200 ‐6,111 ‐96.8% ‐6,741 ‐97.1% 7,509 4,246 3,321 3,639 2,929 4,703 ‐3,382 to ‐2,065 ‐53.6% to ‐32.7% 2,728 to 4,046 1362.7% to 2020.6% ‐4,580 to ‐3,263 ‐61.0% to ‐43.5%
July 7,156 7,645 679 ‐6,477 ‐90.5% ‐6,966 ‐91.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 7,547 7,989 994 ‐6,553 ‐86.8% ‐6,996 ‐87.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 6,349 6,814 943 ‐5,406 ‐85.1% ‐5,871 ‐86.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 6,002 6,376 1,318 ‐4,684 ‐78.0% ‐5,058 ‐79.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 5,733 6,153 1,305 ‐4,428 ‐77.2% ‐4,847 ‐78.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 6,340 6,882 1,848 ‐4,493 ‐70.9% ‐5,035 ‐73.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 16,949 18,642 14,503 ‐2,446 ‐14.4% ‐4,139 ‐22.2% 19,125 6,243 6,110 6,010 5,801 6,947 ‐11,149 to ‐10,706 ‐65.8% to ‐63.2% ‐8,703 to ‐8,260 ‐60.0% to ‐57.0% ‐13,324 to ‐12,882 ‐69.7% to ‐67.4%
2Q 18,035 19,745 372 ‐17,663 ‐97.9% ‐19,373 ‐98.1% 21,154 10,583 8,480 9,187 7,785 13,160 ‐10,250 to ‐7,452 ‐56.8% to ‐41.3% 7,414 to 10,211 1994.9% to 2747.7% ‐13,368 to ‐10,571 ‐63.2% to ‐50.0%
3Q 21,052 22,448 2,616 ‐18,436 ‐87.6% ‐19,833 ‐88.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 18,075 19,411 4,471 ‐13,604 ‐75.3% ‐14,940 ‐77.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 74,111 80,246 21,961 ‐52,150 ‐70.4% ‐58,284 ‐72.6% 40,278 16,826 14,590 15,197 13,586 20,107 ‐21,398 to ‐18,158 ‐61.2% to ‐51.9% ‐1,289 to 1,951 ‐8.7% to 13.1% ‐26,692 to ‐23,452 ‐66.3% to ‐58.2%
Passenger Number (thousand) ‐ Africa Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 3,408 3,580 3,367 ‐41 ‐1.2% ‐213 ‐6.0% 3,788 1,561 1,561 1,561 1,561 1,561 ‐1,847 ‐54.2% ‐1,807 ‐53.7% ‐2,227 ‐58.8%
February 3,141 3,371 3,122 ‐19 ‐0.6% ‐250 ‐7.4% 3,518 1,561 1,561 1,519 1,478 1,958 ‐1,663 to ‐1,580 ‐53.0% to ‐50.3% ‐1,644 to ‐1,561 ‐52.7% to ‐50.0% ‐2,041 to ‐1,958 ‐58.0% to ‐55.6%
March 3,498 3,646 2,032 ‐1,466 ‐41.9% ‐1,614 ‐44.3% 3,753 1,864 1,768 1,734 1,683 2,556 ‐1,814 to ‐1,634 ‐51.9% to ‐46.7% ‐349 to ‐168 ‐17.2% to ‐8.3% ‐2,070 to ‐1,889 ‐55.1% to ‐50.3%
April 3,401 3,469 32 ‐3,370 ‐99.1% ‐3,437 ‐99.1% 3,490 1,907 1,672 1,716 1,622 2,347 ‐1,779 to ‐1,495 ‐52.3% to ‐43.9% 1,591 to 1,875 5041.4% to 5943.1% ‐1,868 to ‐1,583 ‐53.5% to ‐45.4%
May 3,020 3,134 30 ‐2,990 ‐99.0% ‐3,104 ‐99.1% 3,183 1,885 1,606 1,664 1,520 2,179 ‐1,500 to ‐1,135 ‐49.7% to ‐37.6% 1,490 to 1,856 5028.3% to 6261.9% ‐1,663 to ‐1,298 ‐52.3% to ‐40.8%
June 3,187 3,308 152 ‐3,036 ‐95.2% ‐3,157 ‐95.4% 3,387 2,197 1,871 1,938 1,700 2,275 ‐1,487 to ‐990 ‐46.7% to ‐31.1% 1,549 to 2,046 1021.8% to 1349.7% ‐1,686 to ‐1,189 ‐49.8% to ‐35.1%
July 3,508 3,588 438 ‐3,070 ‐87.5% ‐3,150 ‐87.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 3,620 3,629 759 ‐2,861 ‐79.0% ‐2,870 ‐79.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 3,469 3,531 781 ‐2,688 ‐77.5% ‐2,750 ‐77.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 3,517 3,622 1,238 ‐2,278 ‐64.8% ‐2,384 ‐65.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 3,490 3,652 1,317 ‐2,173 ‐62.3% ‐2,335 ‐63.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 3,758 4,016 1,995 ‐1,763 ‐46.9% ‐2,021 ‐50.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 10,047 10,598 8,521 ‐1,526 ‐15.2% ‐2,077 ‐19.6% 11,060 4,986 4,889 4,814 4,722 6,075 ‐5,325 to ‐5,061 ‐53.0% to ‐50.4% ‐3,799 to ‐3,535 ‐44.6% to ‐41.5% ‐6,338 to ‐6,074 ‐57.3% to ‐54.9%
2Q 9,609 9,911 213 ‐9,396 ‐97.8% ‐9,698 ‐97.9% 10,060 5,989 5,149 5,317 4,842 6,801 ‐4,767 to ‐3,619 ‐49.6% to ‐37.7% 4,629 to 5,777 2176.0% to 2715.1% ‐5,217 to ‐4,070 ‐51.9% to ‐40.5%
3Q 10,597 10,748 1,978 ‐8,619 ‐81.3% ‐8,770 ‐81.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 10,764 11,290 4,550 ‐6,214 ‐57.7% ‐6,740 ‐59.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 41,016 42,547 15,261 ‐25,755 ‐62.8% ‐27,286 ‐64.1% 21,119 10,975 10,037 10,131 9,564 12,875 ‐10,092 to ‐8,681 ‐51.3% to ‐44.2% 830 to 2,241 9.5% to 25.7% ‐11,555 to ‐10,145 ‐54.7% to ‐48.0%

Passenger number


Passenger number

Passenger revenue

Passenger revenue (USD, million) ‐ Africa International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 1,290 1,391 1,373 83 6.5% ‐18 ‐1.3% 1,419 427 427 427 427 427 ‐863 ‐66.9% ‐946 ‐68.9% ‐992 ‐69.9%
February 1,125 1,267 1,158 34 3.0% ‐109 ‐8.6% 1,297 405 405 389 374 425 ‐751 to ‐720 ‐66.8% to ‐64.0% ‐785 to ‐754 ‐67.7% to ‐65.1% ‐923 to ‐892 ‐71.2% to ‐68.8%
March 1,288 1,390 670 ‐618 ‐48.0% ‐720 ‐51.8% 1,399 533 503 498 467 664 ‐820 to ‐755 ‐63.7% to ‐58.6% ‐203 to ‐137 ‐30.3% to ‐20.5% ‐932 to ‐867 ‐66.6% to ‐61.9%
April 1,303 1,406 19 ‐1,284 ‐98.6% ‐1,387 ‐98.7% 1,485 670 563 600 538 926 ‐764 to ‐632 ‐58.7% to ‐48.5% 520 to 652 2790.5% to 3499.9% ‐947 to ‐815 ‐63.8% to ‐54.9%
May 1,215 1,321 25 ‐1,191 ‐98.0% ‐1,296 ‐98.1% 1,398 709 562 609 521 908 ‐694 to ‐506 ‐57.1% to ‐41.6% 496 to 685 2007.7% to 2769.0% ‐877 to ‐689 ‐62.7% to ‐49.3%
June 1,355 1,469 49 ‐1,307 ‐96.4% ‐1,420 ‐96.7% 1,573 922 723 791 638 1,021 ‐717 to ‐434 ‐52.9% to ‐32.0% 589 to 873 1208.9% to 1790.4% ‐935 to ‐652 ‐59.4% to ‐41.4%
July 1,539 1,624 148 ‐1,391 ‐90.4% ‐1,476 ‐90.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 1,620 1,696 217 ‐1,403 ‐86.6% ‐1,479 ‐87.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 1,359 1,446 215 ‐1,144 ‐84.2% ‐1,231 ‐85.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 1,296 1,363 295 ‐1,001 ‐77.2% ‐1,068 ‐78.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 1,258 1,333 287 ‐971 ‐77.2% ‐1,047 ‐78.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 1,397 1,503 404 ‐993 ‐71.1% ‐1,099 ‐73.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 3,702 4,049 3,202 ‐501 ‐13.5% ‐847 ‐20.9% 4,115 1,364 1,335 1,313 1,268 1,516 ‐2,434 to ‐2,338 ‐65.8% to ‐63.2% ‐1,934 to ‐1,837 ‐60.4% to ‐57.4% ‐2,848 to ‐2,751 ‐69.2% to ‐66.9%
2Q 3,873 4,196 92 ‐3,781 ‐97.6% ‐4,104 ‐97.8% 4,457 2,301 1,848 2,000 1,697 2,854 ‐2,176 to ‐1,572 ‐56.2% to ‐40.6% 1,605 to 2,209 1743.1% to 2398.8% ‐2,759 to ‐2,155 ‐61.9% to ‐48.4%
3Q 4,518 4,767 580 ‐3,938 ‐87.2% ‐4,187 ‐87.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 3,950 4,199 986 ‐2,964 ‐75.0% ‐3,213 ‐76.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 16,044 17,210 4,860 ‐11,184 ‐69.7% ‐12,351 ‐71.8% 8,572 3,665 3,183 3,314 2,965 4,370 ‐4,610 to ‐3,910 ‐60.9% to ‐51.6% ‐328 to 372 ‐10.0% to 11.3% ‐5,607 to ‐4,906 ‐65.4% to ‐57.2%
Passenger revenue (USD, million) ‐ Africa Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 309 325 305 ‐4 ‐1.2% ‐19 ‐6.0% 343 141 141 141 141 141 ‐167 ‐54.2% ‐164 ‐53.7% ‐202 ‐58.8%
February 285 306 283 ‐2 ‐0.6% ‐23 ‐7.4% 319 141 141 138 134 178 ‐151 to ‐143 ‐53.0% to ‐50.3% ‐149 to ‐141 ‐52.7% to ‐50.0% ‐185 to ‐177 ‐58.0% to ‐55.6%
March 317 331 184 ‐133 ‐41.9% ‐146 ‐44.3% 340 169 160 157 153 232 ‐164 to ‐148 ‐51.9% to ‐46.7% ‐32 to ‐15 ‐17.2% to ‐8.3% ‐188 to ‐171 ‐55.1% to ‐50.3%
April 308 314 3 ‐305 ‐99.1% ‐312 ‐99.1% 316 173 152 156 147 213 ‐161 to ‐136 ‐52.3% to ‐43.9% 144 to 170 5041.4% to 5943.1% ‐169 to ‐144 ‐53.5% to ‐45.4%
May 274 284 3 ‐271 ‐99.0% ‐281 ‐99.1% 289 171 146 151 138 198 ‐136 to ‐103 ‐49.7% to ‐37.6% 135 to 168 5028.3% to 6261.9% ‐151 to ‐118 ‐52.3% to ‐40.8%
June 289 300 14 ‐275 ‐95.2% ‐286 ‐95.4% 307 199 170 176 154 206 ‐135 to ‐90 ‐46.7% to ‐31.1% 140 to 185 1021.8% to 1349.7% ‐153 to ‐108 ‐49.8% to ‐35.1%
July 318 325 40 ‐278 ‐87.5% ‐286 ‐87.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 328 329 69 ‐259 ‐79.0% ‐260 ‐79.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 314 320 71 ‐244 ‐77.5% ‐249 ‐77.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 319 328 112 ‐207 ‐64.8% ‐216 ‐65.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 316 331 119 ‐197 ‐62.3% ‐212 ‐63.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 341 364 181 ‐160 ‐46.9% ‐183 ‐50.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 911 961 772 ‐138 ‐15.2% ‐188 ‐19.6% 1,003 452 443 436 428 551 ‐483 to ‐459 ‐53.0% to ‐50.4% ‐344 to ‐320 ‐44.6% to ‐41.5% ‐575 to ‐551 ‐57.3% to ‐54.9%
2Q 871 898 19 ‐852 ‐97.8% ‐879 ‐97.9% 912 543 467 482 439 616 ‐432 to ‐328 ‐49.6% to ‐37.7% 420 to 524 2176.0% to 2715.1% ‐473 to ‐369 ‐51.9% to ‐40.5%
3Q 961 974 179 ‐781 ‐81.3% ‐795 ‐81.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 976 1,023 412 ‐563 ‐57.7% ‐611 ‐59.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 3,718 3,857 1,383 ‐2,335 ‐62.8% ‐2,473 ‐64.1% 1,914 995 910 918 867 1,167 ‐915 to ‐787 ‐51.3% to ‐44.2% 75 to 203 9.5% to 25.7% ‐1,047 to ‐920 ‐54.7% to ‐48.0%
  Compared to 2019 Seat capacity (%) Passenger number (thousand) Passenger revenue (USD, million)
Total International Domestic Total International Domestic Total International Domestic
1Q 2020 ‐25.1% ‐25.9% ‐24.7% ‐140,680 ‐34.5% ‐40,003 ‐32.7% ‐100,677 ‐35.3% ‐16,257 ‐7,891 ‐8,366
2Q 2020 ‐68.5% ‐90.8% ‐58.8% ‐317,235 ‐77.1% ‐117,222 ‐96.4% ‐200,013 ‐69.0% ‐38,970 ‐24,855 ‐14,114
3Q 2020 ‐49.3% ‐87.6% ‐32.8% ‐258,676 ‐59.3% ‐120,561 ‐94.6% ‐138,115 ‐44.7% ‐34,739 ‐25,585 ‐9,154
4Q 2020 ‐37.4% ‐85.8% ‐16.2% ‐204,867 ‐48.3% ‐117,220 ‐93.8% ‐87,648 ‐29.3% ‐30,488 ‐25,068 ‐5,420
Total 2020 ‐45.1% ‐72.7% ‐33.0% ‐921,458 ‐54.8% ‐395,005 ‐79.6% ‐526,453 ‐44.5% ‐120,453 ‐83,400 ‐37,053
1Q 2021 ‐46.4% to ‐45.5% ‐85.0% to ‐84.2% ‐29.2% to ‐28.3% ‐233,622 to ‐225,333 ‐57.3% to ‐55.2% ‐113,407 to ‐111,903 ‐92.6% to ‐91.4% ‐120,215 to ‐113,430 ‐42.1% to ‐39.7% ‐32,266 to ‐31,386 ‐23,937 to ‐23,586 ‐8,329 to ‐7,800
2Q 2021 ‐42.1% to ‐35.4% ‐76.0% to ‐64.1% ‐27.5% to ‐22.9% ‐222,097 to ‐176,314 ‐54.0% to ‐42.8% ‐106,324 to ‐90,720 ‐87.4% to ‐74.6% ‐115,774 to ‐85,594 ‐39.9% to ‐29.5% ‐30,221 to ‐24,340 ‐22,289 to ‐18,739 ‐7,932 to ‐5,601
3Q 2021 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 2021 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 1Q/2Q 2021 ‐44.3% to ‐40.5% ‐80.5% to ‐74.1% ‐28.3% to ‐25.6% ‐455,720 to ‐401,647 ‐55.6% to ‐49.0% ‐219,731 to ‐202,623 ‐90.0% to ‐83.0% ‐235,989 to ‐199,024 ‐41.0% to ‐34.6% ‐62,487 to ‐55,726 ‐46,225 to ‐42,325 ‐16,261 to ‐13,401

Seat capacity


Seat capacity

Seat capacity

Seat Capacity (thousand) ‐ Asia/Pacific International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 53,178 57,177 56,416 3,238 6.1% ‐761 ‐1.3% 59,993 7,500 7,500 7,500 7,500 7,500 ‐45,678 ‐85.9% ‐48,916 ‐86.7% ‐52,493 ‐87.5%
February 49,160 52,616 38,157 ‐11,003 ‐22.4% ‐14,459 ‐27.5% 54,323 7,380 7,380 7,213 7,092 7,898 ‐42,067 to ‐41,780 ‐85.6% to ‐85.0% ‐31,064 to ‐30,777 ‐81.4% to ‐80.7% ‐47,230 to ‐46,943 ‐86.9% to ‐86.4%
March 52,782 55,037 20,383 ‐32,399 ‐61.4% ‐34,654 ‐63.0% 56,939 9,636 9,636 8,980 8,663 13,743 ‐44,119 to ‐43,146 ‐83.6% to ‐81.7% ‐11,720 to ‐10,747 ‐57.5% to ‐52.7% ‐48,276 to ‐47,302 ‐84.8% to ‐83.1%
April 51,335 52,996 4,531 ‐46,804 ‐91.2% ‐48,465 ‐91.5% 54,593 13,060 10,194 11,412 10,361 29,600 ‐41,140 to ‐38,275 ‐80.1% to ‐74.6% 5,664 to 8,529 125.0% to 188.3% ‐44,399 to ‐41,533 ‐81.3% to ‐76.1%
May 52,030 54,297 4,918 ‐47,112 ‐90.5% ‐49,380 ‐90.9% 56,289 18,382 12,481 15,147 12,702 32,719 ‐39,549 to ‐33,647 ‐76.0% to ‐64.7% 7,563 to 13,464 153.8% to 273.8% ‐43,808 to ‐37,907 ‐77.8% to ‐67.3%
June 51,160 53,047 4,720 ‐46,440 ‐90.8% ‐48,326 ‐91.1% 54,880 24,094 15,764 19,386 14,465 33,577 ‐36,696 to ‐27,067 ‐71.7% to ‐52.9% 9,745 to 19,373 206.4% to 410.4% ‐40,415 to ‐30,786 ‐73.6% to ‐56.1%
July 54,007 55,893 6,277 ‐47,730 ‐88.4% ‐49,616 ‐88.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 54,403 57,005 6,575 ‐47,828 ‐87.9% ‐50,431 ‐88.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 51,417 52,963 6,976 ‐44,441 ‐86.4% ‐45,987 ‐86.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 52,753 55,530 7,441 ‐45,312 ‐85.9% ‐48,089 ‐86.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 51,509 54,649 7,151 ‐44,358 ‐86.1% ‐47,497 ‐86.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 54,864 58,266 8,034 ‐46,830 ‐85.4% ‐50,232 ‐86.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 155,120 164,829 114,956 ‐40,164 ‐25.9% ‐49,874 ‐30.3% 171,254 24,516 24,516 23,694 23,255 29,142 ‐131,864 to ‐130,603 ‐85.0% to ‐84.2% ‐91,700 to ‐90,439 ‐79.8% to ‐78.7% ‐147,999 to ‐146,738 ‐86.4% to ‐85.7%
2Q 154,525 160,340 14,169 ‐140,356 ‐90.8% ‐146,172 ‐91.2% 165,762 55,536 38,439 45,945 37,529 95,895 ‐117,385 to ‐98,989 ‐76.0% to ‐64.1% 22,971 to 41,367 162.1% to 292.0% ‐128,622 to ‐110,226 ‐77.6% to ‐66.5%
3Q 159,828 165,862 19,828 ‐139,999 ‐87.6% ‐146,033 ‐88.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 159,126 168,445 22,627 ‐136,500 ‐85.8% ‐145,818 ‐86.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 628,598 659,477 171,580 ‐457,019 ‐72.7% ‐487,897 ‐74.0% 337,016 80,052 62,955 69,639 60,784 125,037 ‐249,249 to ‐229,592 ‐80.5% to ‐74.1% ‐68,729 to ‐49,072 ‐53.2% to ‐38.0% ‐276,621 to ‐256,964 ‐82.1% to ‐76.2%
Seat Capacity (thousand) ‐ Asia/Pacific Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 120,709 127,584 119,460 ‐1,248 ‐1.0% ‐8,124 ‐6.4% 132,553 85,955 85,955 85,955 85,955 85,955 ‐34,754 ‐28.8% ‐33,505 ‐28.0% ‐46,598 ‐35.2%
February 111,619 119,796 72,885 ‐38,734 ‐34.7% ‐46,912 ‐39.2% 122,703 80,094 80,094 79,632 78,302 101,375 ‐33,317 to ‐31,525 ‐29.8% to ‐28.2% 5,417 to 7,209 7.4% to 9.9% ‐44,401 to ‐42,609 ‐36.2% to ‐34.7%
March 117,404 122,802 70,955 ‐46,449 ‐39.6% ‐51,847 ‐42.2% 124,335 84,574 84,574 83,456 83,189 130,389 ‐34,215 to ‐32,830 ‐29.1% to ‐28.0% 12,234 to 13,619 17.2% to 19.2% ‐41,146 to ‐39,761 ‐33.1% to ‐32.0%
April 116,103 118,010 35,837 ‐80,266 ‐69.1% ‐82,173 ‐69.6% 120,537 84,084 82,409 82,289 81,583 93,325 ‐34,519 to ‐32,019 ‐29.7% to ‐27.6% 45,746 to 48,247 127.7% to 134.6% ‐38,954 to ‐36,453 ‐32.3% to ‐30.2%
May 119,611 122,154 47,661 ‐71,950 ‐60.2% ‐74,493 ‐61.0% 125,379 92,493 87,353 89,481 87,167 96,082 ‐32,444 to ‐27,118 ‐27.1% to ‐22.7% 39,506 to 44,832 82.9% to 94.1% ‐38,213 to ‐32,887 ‐30.5% to ‐26.2%
June 117,902 119,749 62,190 ‐55,712 ‐47.3% ‐57,559 ‐48.1% 122,692 95,976 90,157 92,340 87,797 93,102 ‐30,104 to ‐21,926 ‐25.5% to ‐18.6% 25,607 to 33,786 41.2% to 54.3% ‐34,895 to ‐26,716 ‐28.4% to ‐21.8%
July 125,958 128,787 79,213 ‐46,745 ‐37.1% ‐49,574 ‐38.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 125,307 128,187 85,595 ‐39,711 ‐31.7% ‐42,591 ‐33.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 119,479 122,664 84,267 ‐35,212 ‐29.5% ‐38,397 ‐31.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 123,649 126,732 100,039 ‐23,610 ‐19.1% ‐26,693 ‐21.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 118,413 121,381 98,799 ‐19,614 ‐16.6% ‐22,581 ‐18.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 121,607 125,447 105,836 ‐15,771 ‐13.0% ‐19,611 ‐15.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 349,732 370,182 263,300 ‐86,432 ‐24.7% ‐106,882 ‐28.9% 379,591 250,622 250,622 249,043 247,445 317,719 ‐102,286 to ‐99,109 ‐29.2% to ‐28.3% ‐15,855 to ‐12,678 ‐6.0% to ‐4.8% ‐132,145 to ‐128,968 ‐34.8% to ‐34.0%
2Q 353,615 359,913 145,687 ‐207,928 ‐58.8% ‐214,225 ‐59.5% 368,608 272,553 259,919 264,110 256,547 282,509 ‐97,068 to ‐81,062 ‐27.5% to ‐22.9% 110,860 to 126,865 76.1% to 87.1% ‐112,061 to ‐96,056 ‐30.4% to ‐26.1%
370,744 379,638 249,075 ‐121,668 ‐32.8% ‐130,563 ‐34.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 363,669 373,559 304,675 ‐58,994 ‐16.2% ‐68,885 ‐18.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 1,437,760 1,483,292 962,738 ‐475,022 ‐33.0% ‐520,554 ‐35.1% 748,199 523,175 510,542 513,153 503,993 600,228 ‐199,354 to ‐180,172 ‐28.3% to ‐25.6% 95,005 to 114,188 23.2% to 27.9% ‐244,207 to ‐225,024 ‐32.6% to ‐30.1%

Passenger number


Passenger number

Passenger number

Passenger Number (thousand) ‐ Asia/Pacific International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 42,372 45,737 45,192 2,820 6.7% ‐546 ‐1.2% 48,117 2,973 2,973 2,973 2,973 2,973 ‐39,398 ‐93.0% ‐42,218 ‐93.4% ‐45,144 ‐93.8%
February 38,698 41,573 25,691 ‐13,007 ‐33.6% ‐15,882 ‐38.2% 43,040 3,148 3,148 2,934 2,744 3,564 ‐35,954 to ‐35,550 ‐92.9% to ‐91.9% ‐22,947 to ‐22,543 ‐89.3% to ‐87.7% ‐40,296 to ‐39,892 ‐93.6% to ‐92.7%
March 41,378 43,296 11,563 ‐29,816 ‐72.1% ‐31,734 ‐73.3% 44,909 4,424 3,985 3,820 3,323 6,643 ‐38,055 to ‐36,955 ‐92.0% to ‐89.3% ‐8,239 to ‐7,139 ‐71.3% to ‐61.7% ‐41,585 to ‐40,485 ‐92.6% to ‐90.1%
April 41,000 42,478 1,342 ‐39,658 ‐96.7% ‐41,136 ‐96.8% 43,865 6,817 4,366 5,308 4,127 16,171 ‐36,873 to ‐34,183 ‐89.9% to ‐83.4% 2,785 to 5,475 207.5% to 408.0% ‐39,738 to ‐37,048 ‐90.6% to ‐84.5%
May 39,963 41,839 1,457 ‐38,506 ‐96.4% ‐40,382 ‐96.5% 43,476 9,789 5,423 7,040 4,925 18,203 ‐35,039 to ‐30,175 ‐87.7% to ‐75.5% 3,468 to 8,332 238.0% to 571.8% ‐38,552 to ‐33,687 ‐88.7% to ‐77.5%
June 40,683 42,329 1,626 ‐39,057 ‐96.0% ‐40,703 ‐96.2% 43,899 14,321 7,795 10,264 6,272 20,771 ‐34,412 to ‐26,362 ‐84.6% to ‐64.8% 4,645 to 12,695 285.6% to 780.6% ‐37,627 to ‐29,578 ‐85.7% to ‐67.4%
July 43,780 45,477 2,218 ‐41,562 ‐94.9% ‐43,259 ‐95.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 44,296 46,589 2,331 ‐41,965 ‐94.7% ‐44,258 ‐95.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 39,365 40,698 2,331 ‐37,034 ‐94.1% ‐38,367 ‐94.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 40,850 43,162 2,440 ‐38,410 ‐94.0% ‐40,723 ‐94.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 40,110 42,716 2,391 ‐37,719 ‐94.0% ‐40,325 ‐94.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 43,970 46,875 2,880 ‐41,090 ‐93.5% ‐43,995 ‐93.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 122,448 130,606 82,445 ‐40,003 ‐32.7% ‐48,161 ‐36.9% 136,066 10,545 10,106 9,726 9,040 13,181 ‐113,407 to ‐111,903 ‐92.6% to ‐91.4% ‐73,405 to ‐71,900 ‐89.0% to ‐87.2% ‐127,026 to ‐125,521 ‐93.4% to ‐92.3%
2Q 121,647 126,647 4,425 ‐117,222 ‐96.4% ‐122,221 ‐96.5% 131,240 30,927 17,584 22,612 15,323 55,146 ‐106,324 to ‐90,720 ‐87.4% to ‐74.6% 10,898 to 26,501 246.2% to 598.8% ‐115,917 to ‐100,313 ‐88.3% to ‐76.4%
3Q 127,441 132,763 6,879 ‐120,561 ‐94.6% ‐125,884 ‐94.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 124,930 132,753 7,711 ‐117,220 ‐93.8% ‐125,042 ‐94.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 496,466 522,769 101,461 ‐395,005 ‐79.6% ‐421,308 ‐80.6% 267,306 41,472 27,690 32,338 24,364 68,327 ‐219,731 to ‐202,623 ‐90.0% to ‐83.0% ‐62,507 to ‐45,399 ‐72.0% to ‐52.3% ‐242,943 to ‐225,834 ‐90.9% to ‐84.5%
Passenger Number (thousand) ‐ Asia/Pacific Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 95,498 101,539 91,914 ‐3,584 ‐3.8% ‐9,625 ‐9.5% 106,078 55,255 55,255 55,255 55,255 55,255 ‐40,243 ‐42.1% ‐36,659 ‐39.9% ‐50,823 ‐47.9%
February 93,005 100,363 50,785 ‐42,220 ‐45.4% ‐49,577 ‐49.4% 103,383 56,016 56,016 55,113 53,621 73,849 ‐39,384 to ‐36,989 ‐42.3% to ‐39.8% 2,836 to 5,231 5.6% to 10.3% ‐49,762 to ‐47,367 ‐48.1% to ‐45.8%
March 96,906 101,933 42,033 ‐54,873 ‐56.6% ‐59,900 ‐58.8% 103,722 60,708 57,651 57,777 56,318 97,323 ‐40,588 to ‐36,198 ‐41.9% to ‐37.4% 14,285 to 18,675 34.0% to 44.4% ‐47,403 to ‐43,013 ‐45.7% to ‐41.5%
April 95,254 97,326 20,023 ‐75,231 ‐79.0% ‐77,303 ‐79.4% 99,854 61,705 55,766 57,319 54,826 71,077 ‐40,428 to ‐33,549 ‐42.4% to ‐35.2% 34,803 to 41,682 173.8% to 208.2% ‐45,028 to ‐38,149 ‐45.1% to ‐38.2%
May 97,520 100,050 29,934 ‐67,586 ‐69.3% ‐70,116 ‐70.1% 103,124 68,957 59,899 62,863 58,769 74,225 ‐38,751 to ‐28,563 ‐39.7% to ‐29.3% 28,836 to 39,023 96.3% to 130.4% ‐44,355 to ‐34,167 ‐43.0% to ‐33.1%
June 97,180 99,199 39,984 ‐57,196 ‐58.9% ‐59,215 ‐59.7% 102,083 73,698 63,770 66,971 60,584 74,058 ‐36,595 to ‐23,482 ‐37.7% to ‐24.2% 20,600 to 33,714 51.5% to 84.3% ‐41,499 to ‐28,385 ‐40.7% to ‐27.8%
July 104,823 107,740 52,852 ‐51,971 ‐49.6% ‐54,888 ‐50.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 106,195 109,115 56,191 ‐50,004 ‐47.1% ‐52,924 ‐48.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 97,970 101,111 61,829 ‐36,140 ‐36.9% ‐39,282 ‐38.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 102,596 105,740 73,555 ‐29,041 ‐28.3% ‐32,185 ‐30.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 98,221 101,252 69,618 ‐28,603 ‐29.1% ‐31,634 ‐31.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 98,733 102,434 68,730 ‐30,003 ‐30.4% ‐33,705 ‐32.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 285,410 303,835 184,732 ‐100,677 ‐35.3% ‐119,102 ‐39.2% 313,184 171,980 168,922 168,145 165,195 226,427 ‐120,215 to ‐113,430 ‐42.1% to ‐39.7% ‐19,538 to ‐12,753 ‐10.6% to ‐6.9% ‐147,989 to ‐141,204 ‐47.3% to ‐45.1%
2Q 289,954 296,575 89,941 ‐200,013 ‐69.0% ‐206,635 ‐69.7% 305,061 204,360 179,436 187,152 174,180 219,360 ‐115,774 to ‐85,594 ‐39.9% to ‐29.5% 84,239 to 114,419 93.7% to 127.2% ‐130,881 to ‐100,701 ‐42.9% to ‐33.0%
3Q 308,988 317,966 170,872 ‐138,115 ‐44.7% ‐147,094 ‐46.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 299,550 309,427 211,903 ‐87,648 ‐29.3% ‐97,524 ‐31.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 1,183,901 1,227,803 657,448 ‐526,453 ‐44.5% ‐570,354 ‐46.5% 618,244 376,339 348,358 355,297 339,375 445,787 ‐235,989 to ‐199,024 ‐41.0% to ‐34.6% 64,702 to 101,666 23.6% to 37.0% ‐278,870 to ‐241,905 ‐45.1% to ‐39.1%

Passenger revenue


Passenger number

Passenger revenue

Passenger revenue (USD, million) ‐ Asia/Pacific International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 9,018 9,778 9,744 726 8.0% ‐34 ‐0.3% 10,303 698 698 698 698 698 ‐8,320 ‐92.3% ‐9,046 ‐92.8% ‐9,605 ‐93.2%
February 8,209 8,877 5,701 ‐2,508 ‐30.6% ‐3,176 ‐35.8% 9,185 739 739 689 644 836 ‐7,565 to ‐7,471 ‐92.2% to ‐91.0% ‐5,057 to ‐4,962 ‐88.7% to ‐87.0% ‐8,541 to ‐8,446 ‐93.0% to ‐92.0%
March 8,830 9,243 2,721 ‐6,109 ‐69.2% ‐6,522 ‐70.6% 9,545 1,035 932 894 779 1,544 ‐8,051 to ‐7,795 ‐91.2% to ‐88.3% ‐1,943 to ‐1,686 ‐71.4% to ‐62.0% ‐8,766 to ‐8,510 ‐91.8% to ‐89.2%
April 8,704 8,993 298 ‐8,405 ‐96.6% ‐8,695 ‐96.7% 9,301 1,584 1,019 1,237 963 3,658 ‐7,740 to ‐7,119 ‐88.9% to ‐81.8% 665 to 1,286 223.3% to 431.5% ‐8,338 to ‐7,717 ‐89.6% to ‐83.0%
May 8,493 8,864 326 ‐8,167 ‐96.2% ‐8,538 ‐96.3% 9,196 2,257 1,262 1,631 1,146 4,108 ‐7,347 to ‐6,236 ‐86.5% to ‐73.4% 820 to 1,931 251.7% to 592.8% ‐8,050 to ‐6,939 ‐87.5% to ‐75.5%
June 8,656 8,976 373 ‐8,283 ‐95.7% ‐8,603 ‐95.8% 9,319 3,272 1,804 2,362 1,454 4,679 ‐7,202 to ‐5,384 ‐83.2% to ‐62.2% 1,081 to 2,899 290.0% to 777.5% ‐7,865 to ‐6,047 ‐84.4% to ‐64.9%
July 9,302 9,644 510 ‐8,792 ‐94.5% ‐9,134 ‐94.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 9,441 9,923 550 ‐8,891 ‐94.2% ‐9,372 ‐94.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 8,448 8,696 546 ‐7,902 ‐93.5% ‐8,150 ‐93.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 8,781 9,295 570 ‐8,211 ‐93.5% ‐8,725 ‐93.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 8,618 9,206 561 ‐8,057 ‐93.5% ‐8,645 ‐93.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 9,475 10,148 676 ‐8,800 ‐92.9% ‐9,472 ‐93.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 26,058 27,897 18,167 ‐7,891 ‐30.3% ‐9,731 ‐34.9% 29,033 2,472 2,369 2,281 2,121 3,077 ‐23,937 to ‐23,586 ‐91.9% to ‐90.5% ‐16,046 to ‐15,695 ‐88.3% to ‐86.4% ‐26,912 to ‐26,561 ‐92.7% to ‐91.5%
2Q 25,852 26,832 997 ‐24,855 ‐96.1% ‐25,836 ‐96.3% 27,816 7,113 4,086 5,230 3,563 12,445 ‐22,289 to ‐18,739 ‐86.2% to ‐72.5% 2,567 to 6,117 257.5% to 613.7% ‐24,252 to ‐20,702 ‐87.2% to ‐74.4%
3Q 27,191 28,263 1,606 ‐25,585 ‐94.1% ‐26,657 ‐94.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 26,875 28,648 1,806 ‐25,068 ‐93.3% ‐26,842 ‐93.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 105,975 111,641 22,576 ‐83,400 ‐78.7% ‐89,065 ‐79.8% 56,849 9,585 6,455 7,511 5,685 15,522 ‐46,225 to ‐42,325 ‐89.0% to ‐81.5% ‐13,479 to ‐9,578 ‐70.3% to ‐50.0% ‐51,164 to ‐47,263 ‐90.0% to ‐83.1%
Passenger revenue (USD, million) ‐ Asia/Pacific Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 7,124 7,591 6,765 ‐359 ‐5.0% ‐826 ‐10.9% 7,980 4,344 4,344 4,344 4,344 4,344 ‐2,780 ‐39.0% ‐2,420 ‐35.8% ‐3,636 ‐45.6%
February 6,995 7,560 3,242 ‐3,752 ‐53.6% ‐4,317 ‐57.1% 7,825 4,403 4,403 4,333 4,217 5,768 ‐2,777 to ‐2,591 ‐39.7% to ‐37.0% 975 to 1,161 30.1% to 35.8% ‐3,607 to ‐3,422 ‐46.1% to ‐43.7%
March 7,195 7,579 2,941 ‐4,254 ‐59.1% ‐4,638 ‐61.2% 7,752 4,766 4,526 4,537 4,423 7,528 ‐2,772 to ‐2,429 ‐38.5% to ‐33.8% 1,482 to 1,825 50.4% to 62.1% ‐3,329 to ‐2,986 ‐42.9% to ‐38.5%
April 7,099 7,223 1,693 ‐5,406 ‐76.2% ‐5,530 ‐76.6% 7,412 4,839 4,377 4,499 4,304 5,559 ‐2,795 to ‐2,260 ‐39.4% to ‐31.8% 2,611 to 3,147 154.2% to 185.9% ‐3,109 to ‐2,573 ‐41.9% to ‐34.7%
May 7,264 7,413 2,531 ‐4,733 ‐65.2% ‐4,882 ‐65.9% 7,639 5,396 4,698 4,925 4,609 5,807 ‐2,656 to ‐1,868 ‐36.6% to ‐25.7% 2,078 to 2,865 82.1% to 113.2% ‐3,030 to ‐2,243 ‐39.7% to ‐29.4%
June 7,227 7,345 3,252 ‐3,974 ‐55.0% ‐4,093 ‐55.7% 7,566 5,754 4,991 5,236 4,746 5,797 ‐2,481 to ‐1,473 ‐34.3% to ‐20.4% 1,493 to 2,501 45.9% to 76.9% ‐2,821 to ‐1,813 ‐37.3% to ‐24.0%
July 7,822 7,995 4,258 ‐3,564 ‐45.6% ‐3,737 ‐46.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 7,922 8,098 4,619 ‐3,303 ‐41.7% ‐3,479 ‐43.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 7,277 7,465 4,990 ‐2,287 ‐31.4% ‐2,475 ‐33.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 7,608 7,872 5,859 ‐1,748 ‐23.0% ‐2,013 ‐25.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 7,219 7,450 5,447 ‐1,772 ‐24.5% ‐2,002 ‐26.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 7,265 7,555 5,366 ‐1,899 ‐26.1% ‐2,189 ‐29.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 21,313 22,730 12,948 ‐8,366 ‐39.3% ‐9,782 ‐43.0% 23,557 13,514 13,274 13,215 12,985 17,640 ‐8,329 to ‐7,800 ‐39.1% to ‐36.6% 37 to 566 0.3% to 4.4% ‐10,572 to ‐10,043 ‐44.9% to ‐42.6%
2Q 21,590 21,981 7,476 ‐14,114 ‐65.4% ‐14,505 ‐66.0% 22,618 15,989 14,066 14,660 13,658 17,163 ‐7,932 to ‐5,601 ‐36.7% to ‐25.9% 6,182 to 8,513 82.7% to 113.9% ‐8,960 to ‐6,628 ‐39.6% to ‐29.3%
3Q 23,021 23,558 13,867 ‐9,154 ‐39.8% ‐9,691 ‐41.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 22,092 22,876 16,672 ‐5,420 ‐24.5% ‐6,204 ‐27.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 88,016 91,145 50,963 ‐37,053 ‐42.1% ‐40,182 ‐44.1% 46,175 29,503 27,340 27,875 26,642 34,803 ‐16,261 to ‐13,401 ‐37.9% to ‐31.2% 6,218 to 9,079 30.4% to 44.5% ‐19,532 to ‐16,672 ‐42.3% to ‐36.1%
  Compared to 2019 Seat capacity (%) Passenger number (thousand) Passenger revenue (USD, million)
Total International Domestic Total International Domestic Total International Domestic
1Q 2020 ‐12.8% ‐14.0% ‐10.2% ‐41,010 ‐17.5% ‐30,007 ‐18.1% ‐11,002 ‐16.0% ‐5,254 ‐4,350 ‐905
2Q 2020 ‐90.1% ‐93.3% ‐80.9% ‐291,112 ‐94.2% ‐223,363 ‐96.8% ‐67,749 ‐86.4% ‐36,388 ‐30,818 ‐5,570
3Q 2020 ‐56.1% ‐64.2% ‐30.8% ‐237,499 ‐67.8% ‐208,114 ‐78.3% ‐29,385 ‐34.7% ‐32,074 ‐29,658 ‐2,416
4Q 2020 ‐64.3% ‐72.8% ‐41.9% ‐199,727 ‐75.2% ‐163,060 ‐84.4% ‐36,667 ‐50.6% ‐26,347 ‐23,332 ‐3,015
Total 2020 ‐57.9% ‐63.9% ‐41.4% ‐769,347 ‐66.3% ‐624,545 ‐73.0% ‐144,803 ‐47.6% ‐100,063 ‐88,158 ‐11,905
1Q 2021 ‐70.0% to ‐68.7% ‐77.2% to ‐75.8% ‐53.3% to ‐52.2% ‐182,454 to ‐178,211 ‐77.8% to ‐76.0% ‐141,618 to ‐138,549 ‐85.4% to ‐83.5% ‐40,836 to ‐39,661 ‐59.6% to ‐57.8% ‐23,945 to ‐23,386 ‐20,587 to ‐20,126 ‐3,357 to ‐3,261
2Q 2021 ‐56.7% to ‐41.0% ‐60.5% to ‐42.0% ‐45.6% to ‐37.9% ‐210,507 to ‐156,865 ‐68.1% to ‐50.7% ‐169,524 to ‐124,029 ‐73.5% to ‐53.8% ‐40,983 to ‐32,836 ‐52.3% to ‐41.9% ‐26,056 to ‐18,773 ‐22,687 to ‐16,074 ‐3,369 to ‐2,700
3Q 2021 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 2021 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 1Q/2Q 2021 ‐62.6% to ‐53.3% ‐67.7% to ‐56.5% ‐49.3% to ‐44.7% ‐392,961 to ‐335,076 ‐72.3% to ‐61.6% ‐311,142 to ‐262,578 ‐78.5% to ‐66.2% ‐81,819 to ‐72,497 ‐55.7% to ‐49.3% ‐50,001 to ‐42,160 ‐43,274 to ‐36,199 ‐6,727 to ‐5,960

Seat capacity


Seat capacity

Seat capacity

Seat Capacity (thousand) ‐ Europe International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 69,546 70,173 69,578 33 0.0% ‐594 ‐0.8% 71,125 14,785 14,785 14,785 14,785 14,785 ‐54,761 ‐78.7% ‐54,794 ‐78.8% ‐56,340 ‐79.2%
February 63,796 67,633 65,647 1,851 2.9% ‐1,986 ‐2.9% 69,524 12,543 12,543 12,347 12,141 12,630 ‐51,655 to ‐51,253 ‐81.0% to ‐80.3% ‐53,506 to ‐53,104 ‐81.5% to ‐80.9% ‐57,384 to ‐56,981 ‐82.5% to ‐82.0%
March 72,868 76,030 42,188 ‐30,680 ‐42.1% ‐33,842 ‐44.5% 77,348 22,605 22,605 20,951 20,124 30,816 ‐52,745 to ‐50,263 ‐72.4% to ‐69.0% ‐22,065 to ‐19,583 ‐52.3% to ‐46.4% ‐57,224 to ‐54,743 ‐74.0% to ‐70.8%
April 83,899 86,297 3,879 ‐80,020 ‐95.4% ‐82,418 ‐95.5% 89,399 36,033 28,603 31,327 28,383 72,444 ‐55,517 to ‐47,867 ‐66.2% to ‐57.1% 24,503 to 32,153 631.6% to 828.8% ‐61,016 to ‐53,366 ‐68.3% to ‐59.7%
May 93,237 93,961 4,820 ‐88,417 ‐94.8% ‐89,141 ‐94.9% 95,137 50,827 35,710 42,193 35,146 81,601 ‐58,091 to ‐42,411 ‐62.3% to ‐45.5% 30,326 to 46,006 629.1% to 954.4% ‐59,990 to ‐44,310 ‐63.1% to ‐46.6%
June 98,521 102,007 9,702 ‐88,819 ‐90.2% ‐92,306 ‐90.5% 106,619 72,892 50,511 60,476 45,241 85,037 ‐53,280 to ‐25,628 ‐54.1% to ‐26.0% 35,539 to 63,191 366.3% to 651.4% ‐61,378 to ‐33,726 ‐57.6% to ‐31.6%
July 105,080 108,140 31,270 ‐73,810 ‐70.2% ‐76,870 ‐71.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 105,456 107,856 44,327 ‐61,129 ‐58.0% ‐63,529 ‐58.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 98,705 100,901 35,050 ‐63,655 ‐64.5% ‐65,851 ‐65.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 92,377 92,558 29,384 ‐62,994 ‐68.2% ‐63,175 ‐68.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 70,369 70,451 16,025 ‐54,344 ‐77.2% ‐54,426 ‐77.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 71,715 74,164 18,267 ‐53,449 ‐74.5% ‐55,898 ‐75.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 206,210 213,835 177,414 ‐28,796 ‐14.0% ‐36,422 ‐17.0% 217,997 49,933 49,933 48,083 47,049 58,231 ‐159,160 to ‐156,277 ‐77.2% to ‐75.8% ‐130,364 to ‐127,480 ‐73.5% to ‐71.9% ‐170,948 to ‐168,064 ‐78.4% to ‐77.1%
2Q 275,657 282,266 18,401 ‐257,256 ‐93.3% ‐263,864 ‐93.5% 291,154 159,752 114,824 133,996 108,770 239,082 ‐166,887 to ‐115,906 ‐60.5% to ‐42.0% 90,369 to 141,350 491.1% to 768.1% ‐182,384 to ‐131,402 ‐62.6% to ‐45.1%
3Q 309,241 316,897 110,647 ‐198,594 ‐64.2% ‐206,250 ‐65.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 234,461 237,173 63,675 ‐170,787 ‐72.8% ‐173,499 ‐73.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 1,025,570 1,050,171 370,136 ‐655,433 ‐63.9% ‐680,035 ‐64.8% 509,151 209,685 164,757 182,079 155,819 297,313 ‐326,048 to ‐272,182 ‐67.7% to ‐56.5% ‐39,996 to 13,870 ‐20.4% to 7.1% ‐353,332 to ‐299,466 ‐69.4% to ‐58.8%
Seat Capacity (thousand) ‐ Europe Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 29,708 29,203 30,148 440 1.5% 945 3.2% 28,911 13,502 13,502 13,502 13,502 13,502 ‐16,205 ‐54.5% ‐16,645 ‐55.2% ‐15,408 ‐53.3%
February 27,328 27,154 27,813 485 1.8% 659 2.4% 27,814 13,128 13,128 12,934 12,717 13,191 ‐14,610 to ‐14,200 ‐53.5% to ‐52.0% ‐15,096 to ‐14,686 ‐54.3% to ‐52.8% ‐15,096 to ‐14,686 ‐54.3% to ‐52.8%
March 30,667 30,085 20,783 ‐9,884 ‐32.2% ‐9,301 ‐30.9% 29,723 15,295 15,295 14,886 14,778 20,768 ‐15,890 to ‐15,372 ‐51.8% to ‐50.1% ‐6,006 to ‐5,488 ‐28.9% to ‐26.4% ‐14,945 to ‐14,427 ‐50.3% to ‐48.5%
April 30,123 29,986 3,593 ‐26,530 ‐88.1% ‐26,393 ‐88.0% 29,776 16,440 15,546 15,661 15,350 30,285 ‐14,773 to ‐13,683 ‐49.0% to ‐45.4% 11,757 to 12,847 327.2% to 357.5% ‐14,425 to ‐13,336 ‐48.4% to ‐44.8%
May 32,229 32,001 4,181 ‐28,047 ‐87.0% ‐27,820 ‐86.9% 32,069 19,938 17,646 18,555 17,516 32,224 ‐14,712 to ‐12,291 ‐45.6% to ‐38.1% 13,335 to 15,756 318.9% to 376.8% ‐14,553 to ‐12,132 ‐45.4% to ‐37.8%
June 32,730 32,499 10,385 ‐22,345 ‐68.3% ‐22,114 ‐68.0% 32,558 22,692 20,067 21,258 18,835 32,839 ‐13,895 to ‐10,038 ‐42.5% to ‐30.7% 8,450 to 12,308 81.4% to 118.5% ‐13,723 to ‐9,865 ‐42.1% to ‐30.3%
July 33,114 32,880 20,465 ‐12,649 ‐38.2% ‐12,415 ‐37.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 33,118 32,884 25,419 ‐7,699 ‐23.2% ‐7,465 ‐22.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 33,152 32,918 22,869 ‐10,283 ‐31.0% ‐10,049 ‐30.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 31,891 31,349 21,152 ‐10,739 ‐33.7% ‐10,198 ‐32.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 29,373 28,874 15,334 ‐14,038 ‐47.8% ‐13,539 ‐46.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 28,961 28,312 15,911 ‐13,050 ‐45.1% ‐12,401 ‐43.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 87,703 86,441 78,744 ‐8,959 ‐10.2% ‐7,698 ‐8.9% 86,448 41,925 41,925 41,322 40,998 47,462 ‐46,705 to ‐45,777 ‐53.3% to ‐52.2% ‐37,746 to ‐36,819 ‐47.9% to ‐46.8% ‐45,450 to ‐44,522 ‐52.6% to ‐51.5%
2Q 95,081 94,486 18,159 ‐76,922 ‐80.9% ‐76,327 ‐80.8% 94,403 59,070 53,259 55,474 51,701 95,348 ‐43,380 to ‐36,011 ‐45.6% to ‐37.9% 33,542 to 40,911 184.7% to 225.3% ‐42,701 to ‐35,333 ‐45.2% to ‐37.4%
3Q 99,383 98,682 68,752 ‐30,631 ‐30.8% ‐29,929 ‐30.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 90,225 88,535 52,397 ‐37,828 ‐41.9% ‐36,138 ‐40.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 372,392 368,144 218,053 ‐154,339 ‐41.4% ‐150,091 ‐40.8% 180,850 100,995 95,185 96,796 92,699 142,810 ‐90,085 to ‐81,789 ‐49.3% to ‐44.7% ‐4,204 to 4,092 ‐4.3% to 4.2% ‐88,151 to ‐79,855 ‐48.7% to ‐44.2%

Passenger number


Passenger number

Passenger number

Passenger Number (thousand) ‐ Europe International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 54,881 55,743 56,557 1,676 3.1% 814 1.5% 56,110 7,370 7,370 7,370 7,370 7,370 ‐47,511 ‐86.6% ‐49,187 ‐87.0% ‐48,740 ‐86.9%
February 51,178 54,626 51,816 639 1.2% ‐2,810 ‐5.1% 55,766 6,764 6,764 6,486 6,208 7,057 ‐44,970 to ‐44,414 ‐87.9% to ‐86.8% ‐45,608 to ‐45,052 ‐88.0% to ‐86.9% ‐49,558 to ‐49,002 ‐88.9% to ‐87.9%
March 59,791 62,825 27,468 ‐32,322 ‐54.1% ‐35,357 ‐56.3% 63,466 13,166 12,376 11,706 10,653 18,553 ‐49,137 to ‐46,625 ‐82.2% to ‐78.0% ‐16,815 to ‐14,302 ‐61.2% to ‐52.1% ‐52,813 to ‐50,300 ‐83.2% to ‐79.3%
April 70,397 72,906 1,054 ‐69,343 ‐98.5% ‐71,853 ‐98.6% 74,986 22,867 16,183 18,628 15,544 47,376 ‐54,853 to ‐47,530 ‐77.9% to ‐67.5% 14,490 to 21,814 1375.4% to 2070.5% ‐59,442 to ‐52,118 ‐79.3% to ‐69.5%
May 76,311 77,402 1,741 ‐74,570 ‐97.7% ‐75,661 ‐97.8% 77,771 32,689 20,411 25,127 19,025 54,003 ‐57,286 to ‐43,622 ‐75.1% to ‐57.2% 17,284 to 30,949 992.9% to 1777.8% ‐58,745 to ‐45,081 ‐75.5% to ‐58.0%
June 83,994 87,585 4,545 ‐79,449 ‐94.6% ‐83,040 ‐94.8% 90,866 51,117 31,754 39,649 26,609 61,276 ‐57,385 to ‐32,878 ‐68.3% to ‐39.1% 22,064 to 46,572 485.5% to 1024.7% ‐64,257 to ‐39,749 ‐70.7% to ‐43.7%
July 91,067 94,366 16,270 ‐74,797 ‐82.1% ‐78,096 ‐82.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 91,837 94,578 23,925 ‐67,912 ‐73.9% ‐70,652 ‐74.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 82,874 85,320 17,468 ‐65,406 ‐78.9% ‐67,852 ‐79.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 76,950 77,619 13,812 ‐63,138 ‐82.1% ‐63,808 ‐82.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 57,404 57,850 7,084 ‐50,319 ‐87.7% ‐50,765 ‐87.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 58,838 61,260 9,236 ‐49,602 ‐84.3% ‐52,023 ‐84.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 165,849 173,194 135,842 ‐30,007 ‐18.1% ‐37,352 ‐21.6% 175,342 27,300 26,510 25,561 24,231 32,980 ‐141,618 to ‐138,549 ‐85.4% to ‐83.5% ‐111,611 to ‐108,542 ‐82.2% to ‐79.9% ‐151,111 to ‐148,042 ‐86.2% to ‐84.4%
2Q 230,702 237,893 7,339 ‐223,363 ‐96.8% ‐230,553 ‐96.9% 243,622 106,673 68,348 83,403 61,179 162,655 ‐169,524 to ‐124,029 ‐73.5% to ‐53.8% 53,839 to 99,334 733.6% to 1353.4% ‐182,444 to ‐136,949 ‐74.9% to ‐56.2%
3Q 265,778 274,263 57,663 ‐208,114 ‐78.3% ‐216,600 ‐79.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 193,192 196,728 30,132 ‐163,060 ‐84.4% ‐166,596 ‐84.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 855,522 882,079 230,977 ‐624,545 ‐73.0% ‐651,102 ‐73.8% 418,964 133,973 94,858 108,964 85,410 195,635 ‐311,142 to ‐262,578 ‐78.5% to ‐66.2% ‐57,772 to ‐9,208 ‐40.3% to ‐6.4% ‐333,555 to ‐284,991 ‐79.6% to ‐68.0%
Passenger Number (thousand) ‐ Europe Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 22,514 22,264 23,037 524 2.3% 774 3.5% 22,058 8,806 8,806 8,806 8,806 8,806 ‐13,707 ‐60.9% ‐14,231 ‐61.8% ‐13,252 ‐60.1%
February 21,385 21,376 21,469 85 0.4% 94 0.4% 21,912 9,007 9,007 8,812 8,604 9,247 ‐12,780 to ‐12,377 ‐59.8% to ‐57.9% ‐12,865 to ‐12,462 ‐59.9% to ‐58.0% ‐13,308 to ‐12,905 ‐60.7% to ‐58.9%
March 24,663 24,339 13,052 ‐11,610 ‐47.1% ‐11,287 ‐46.4% 24,065 11,086 10,675 10,540 10,314 15,365 ‐14,348 to ‐13,577 ‐58.2% to ‐55.0% ‐2,738 to ‐1,966 ‐21.0% to ‐15.1% ‐13,751 to ‐12,979 ‐57.1% to ‐53.9%
April 24,573 24,608 1,637 ‐22,936 ‐93.3% ‐22,971 ‐93.3% 24,455 12,330 11,027 11,362 10,889 23,171 ‐13,684 to ‐12,243 ‐55.7% to ‐49.8% 9,252 to 10,693 565.2% to 653.3% ‐13,565 to ‐12,124 ‐55.5% to ‐49.6%
May 26,023 25,994 1,932 ‐24,091 ‐92.6% ‐24,062 ‐92.6% 26,070 15,010 12,541 13,444 12,366 24,745 ‐13,657 to ‐11,013 ‐52.5% to ‐42.3% 10,434 to 13,078 540.0% to 676.9% ‐13,704 to ‐11,060 ‐52.6% to ‐42.4%
June 27,807 27,776 7,086 ‐20,721 ‐74.5% ‐20,690 ‐74.5% 27,849 18,228 15,270 16,481 14,166 26,882 ‐13,642 to ‐9,580 ‐49.1% to ‐34.4% 7,080 to 11,142 99.9% to 157.2% ‐13,683 to ‐9,621 ‐49.1% to ‐34.5%
July 28,851 28,819 16,161 ‐12,690 ‐44.0% ‐12,658 ‐43.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 28,431 28,399 21,207 ‐7,224 ‐25.4% ‐7,192 ‐25.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 27,322 27,292 17,851 ‐9,471 ‐34.7% ‐9,441 ‐34.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 26,211 25,920 14,996 ‐11,215 ‐42.8% ‐10,924 ‐42.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 23,388 23,128 9,965 ‐13,424 ‐57.4% ‐13,164 ‐56.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 22,886 22,506 10,857 ‐12,028 ‐52.6% ‐11,649 ‐51.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 68,561 67,978 57,559 ‐11,002 ‐16.0% ‐10,419 ‐15.3% 68,036 28,900 28,489 28,159 27,725 33,418 ‐40,836 to ‐39,661 ‐59.6% to ‐57.8% ‐29,834 to ‐28,659 ‐51.8% to ‐49.8% ‐40,311 to ‐39,136 ‐59.2% to ‐57.5%
2Q 78,404 78,378 10,655 ‐67,749 ‐86.4% ‐67,723 ‐86.4% 78,373 45,568 38,838 41,287 37,421 74,797 ‐40,983 to ‐32,836 ‐52.3% to ‐41.9% 26,766 to 34,913 251.2% to 327.7% ‐40,952 to ‐32,805 ‐52.3% to ‐41.9%
3Q 84,604 84,509 55,219 ‐29,385 ‐34.7% ‐29,290 ‐34.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 72,485 71,555 35,818 ‐36,667 ‐50.6% ‐35,737 ‐49.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 304,054 302,420 159,251 ‐144,803 ‐47.6% ‐143,169 ‐47.3% 146,409 74,468 67,326 69,445 65,146 108,216 ‐81,819 to ‐72,497 ‐55.7% to ‐49.3% ‐3,068 to 6,254 ‐4.5% to 9.2% ‐81,263 to ‐71,942 ‐55.5% to ‐49.1%

Passenger revenue


Passenger revenue

Passenger revenue

Passenger revenue (USD, million) ‐ Europe International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 8,094 8,199 8,366 272 3.4% 167 2.0% 8,240 1,122 1,122 1,122 1,122 1,122 ‐6,972 ‐86.1% ‐7,244 ‐86.6% ‐7,118 ‐86.4%
February 7,471 7,913 7,460 ‐11 ‐0.1% ‐453 ‐5.7% 8,019 1,031 1,031 989 947 1,076 ‐6,525 to ‐6,440 ‐87.3% to ‐86.2% ‐6,513 to ‐6,429 ‐87.3% to ‐86.2% ‐7,073 to ‐6,988 ‐88.2% to ‐87.1%
March 8,707 9,004 4,096 ‐4,611 ‐53.0% ‐4,908 ‐54.5% 9,057 1,993 1,873 1,774 1,616 2,789 ‐7,091 to ‐6,714 ‐81.4% to ‐77.1% ‐2,480 to ‐2,103 ‐60.5% to ‐51.3% ‐7,441 to ‐7,064 ‐82.2% to ‐78.0%
April 9,864 10,192 180 ‐9,684 ‐98.2% ‐10,012 ‐98.2% 10,501 3,433 2,444 2,806 2,347 6,921 ‐7,517 to ‐6,432 ‐76.2% to ‐65.2% 2,167 to 3,253 1205.2% to 1808.7% ‐8,153 to ‐7,068 ‐77.6% to ‐67.3%
May 10,490 10,702 268 ‐10,222 ‐97.4% ‐10,434 ‐97.5% 10,842 4,861 3,070 3,759 2,861 7,872 ‐7,628 to ‐5,628 ‐72.7% to ‐53.7% 2,594 to 4,594 969.0% to 1716.2% ‐7,981 to ‐5,981 ‐73.6% to ‐55.2%
June 11,524 11,967 612 ‐10,912 ‐94.7% ‐11,356 ‐94.9% 12,424 7,510 4,733 5,869 3,982 8,966 ‐7,542 to ‐4,014 ‐65.4% to ‐34.8% 3,370 to 6,898 550.8% to 1127.3% ‐8,442 to ‐4,914 ‐67.9% to ‐39.6%
July 12,542 12,991 1,940 ‐10,602 ‐84.5% ‐11,051 ‐85.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 12,666 13,045 2,821 ‐9,846 ‐77.7% ‐10,224 ‐78.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 11,354 11,685 2,144 ‐9,210 ‐81.1% ‐9,541 ‐81.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 10,641 10,758 1,807 ‐8,834 ‐83.0% ‐8,951 ‐83.2% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 8,338 8,415 1,073 ‐7,265 ‐87.1% ‐7,343 ‐87.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 8,637 8,940 1,404 ‐7,233 ‐83.7% ‐7,536 ‐84.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 24,272 25,116 19,922 ‐4,350 ‐17.9% ‐5,194 ‐20.7% 25,316 4,146 4,027 3,885 3,684 4,987 ‐20,587 to ‐20,126 ‐84.8% to ‐82.9% ‐16,238 to ‐15,776 ‐81.5% to ‐79.2% ‐21,631 to ‐21,170 ‐85.4% to ‐83.6%
2Q 31,878 32,861 1,059 ‐30,818 ‐96.7% ‐31,802 ‐96.8% 33,767 15,804 10,248 12,434 9,191 23,760 ‐22,687 to ‐16,074 ‐71.2% to ‐50.4% 8,131 to 14,745 767.5% to 1391.7% ‐24,576 to ‐17,963 ‐72.8% to ‐53.2%
3Q 36,562 37,721 6,904 ‐29,658 ‐81.1% ‐30,816 ‐81.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 27,616 28,114 4,284 ‐23,332 ‐84.5% ‐23,830 ‐84.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 120,328 123,811 32,169 ‐88,158 ‐73.3% ‐91,642 ‐74.0% 59,083 19,950 14,274 16,319 12,875 28,747 ‐43,274 to ‐36,199 ‐77.1% to ‐64.5% ‐8,106 to ‐1,031 ‐38.6% to ‐4.9% ‐46,208 to ‐39,133 ‐78.2% to ‐66.2%
Passenger revenue (USD, million) ‐ Europe Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 1,851 1,830 1,894 43 2.3% 64 3.5% 1,814 724 724 724 724 724 ‐1,127 ‐60.9% ‐1,170 ‐61.8% ‐1,090 ‐60.1%
February 1,758 1,757 1,765 7 0.4% 8 0.4% 1,802 741 741 725 707 760 ‐1,051 to ‐1,018 ‐59.8% to ‐57.9% ‐1,058 to ‐1,025 ‐59.9% to ‐58.0% ‐1,094 to ‐1,061 ‐60.7% to ‐58.9%
March 2,028 2,001 1,073 ‐955 ‐47.1% ‐928 ‐46.4% 1,979 911 878 867 848 1,263 ‐1,180 to ‐1,116 ‐58.2% to ‐55.0% ‐225 to ‐162 ‐21.0% to ‐15.1% ‐1,131 to ‐1,067 ‐57.1% to ‐53.9%
April 2,020 2,023 135 ‐1,886 ‐93.3% ‐1,889 ‐93.3% 2,011 1,014 907 934 895 1,905 ‐1,125 to ‐1,007 ‐55.7% to ‐49.8% 761 to 879 565.2% to 653.3% ‐1,115 to ‐997 ‐55.5% to ‐49.6%
May 2,140 2,137 159 ‐1,981 ‐92.6% ‐1,978 ‐92.6% 2,143 1,234 1,031 1,105 1,017 2,034 ‐1,123 to ‐905 ‐52.5% to ‐42.3% 858 to 1,075 540.0% to 676.9% ‐1,127 to ‐909 ‐52.6% to ‐42.4%
June 2,286 2,284 583 ‐1,704 ‐74.5% ‐1,701 ‐74.5% 2,290 1,499 1,255 1,355 1,165 2,210 ‐1,122 to ‐788 ‐49.1% to ‐34.4% 582 to 916 99.9% to 157.2% ‐1,125 to ‐791 ‐49.1% to ‐34.5%
July 2,372 2,369 1,329 ‐1,043 ‐44.0% ‐1,041 ‐43.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 2,337 2,335 1,744 ‐594 ‐25.4% ‐591 ‐25.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 2,246 2,244 1,468 ‐779 ‐34.7% ‐776 ‐34.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 2,155 2,131 1,233 ‐922 ‐42.8% ‐898 ‐42.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 1,923 1,902 819 ‐1,104 ‐57.4% ‐1,082 ‐56.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 1,882 1,850 893 ‐989 ‐52.6% ‐958 ‐51.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 5,637 5,589 4,732 ‐905 ‐16.0% ‐857 ‐15.3% 5,594 2,376 2,342 2,315 2,279 2,747 ‐3,357 to ‐3,261 ‐59.6% to ‐57.8% ‐2,453 to ‐2,356 ‐51.8% to ‐49.8% ‐3,314 to ‐3,218 ‐59.2% to ‐57.5%
2Q 6,446 6,444 876 ‐5,570 ‐86.4% ‐5,568 ‐86.4% 6,443 3,746 3,193 3,394 3,077 6,149 ‐3,369 to ‐2,700 ‐52.3% to ‐41.9% 2,201 to 2,870 251.2% to 327.7% ‐3,367 to ‐2,697 ‐52.3% to ‐41.9%
3Q 6,956 6,948 4,540 ‐2,416 ‐34.7% ‐2,408 ‐34.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 5,959 5,883 2,945 ‐3,015 ‐50.6% ‐2,938 ‐49.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 24,998 24,863 13,093 ‐11,905 ‐47.6% ‐11,771 ‐47.3% 12,037 6,122 5,535 5,709 5,356 8,897 ‐6,727 to ‐5,960 ‐55.7% to ‐49.3% ‐252 to 514 ‐4.5% to 9.2% ‐6,681 to ‐5,915 ‐55.5% to ‐49.1%
  Compared to 2019 Seat capacity (%) Passenger number (thousand) Passenger revenue (USD, million)
Total International Domestic Total International Domestic Total International Domestic
1Q 2020 ‐6.3% ‐9.5% ‐4.4% ‐8,770 ‐10.1% ‐4,698 ‐15.0% ‐4,072 ‐7.3% ‐1,321 ‐976 ‐346
2Q 2020 ‐89.6% ‐91.6% ‐88.5% ‐76,687 ‐92.2% ‐28,082 ‐96.1% ‐48,606 ‐90.0% ‐9,679 ‐5,628 ‐4,051
3Q 2020 ‐72.4% ‐79.3% ‐68.9% ‐67,726 ‐77.5% ‐26,240 ‐89.4% ‐41,485 ‐71.5% ‐8,805 ‐5,319 ‐3,486
4Q 2020 ‐47.1% ‐60.4% ‐40.4% ‐45,697 ‐52.7% ‐21,778 ‐76.2% ‐23,919 ‐41.2% ‐6,450 ‐4,434 ‐2,016
Total 2020 ‐53.3% ‐58.9% ‐50.4% ‐198,880 ‐57.8% ‐80,799 ‐68.2% ‐118,082 ‐52.3% ‐26,256 ‐16,358 ‐9,898
1Q 2021 ‐40.8% to ‐39.4% ‐54.7% to ‐53.2% ‐32.7% to ‐31.3% ‐41,389 to ‐39,705 ‐47.7% to ‐45.8% ‐22,066 to ‐21,252 ‐70.5% to ‐67.9% ‐19,323 to ‐18,453 ‐34.9% to ‐33.3% ‐6,148 to ‐5,917 ‐4,515 to ‐4,357 ‐1,632 to ‐1,560
2Q 2021 ‐30.3% to ‐20.7% ‐41.3% to ‐29.1% ‐24.3% to ‐16.2% ‐31,923 to ‐22,295 ‐38.4% to ‐26.8% ‐17,580 to ‐12,690 ‐60.2% to ‐43.4% ‐14,344 to ‐9,606 ‐26.6% to ‐17.8% ‐4,799 to ‐3,447 ‐3,600 to ‐2,641 ‐1,200 to ‐806
3Q 2021 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 2021 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 1Q/2Q 2021 ‐35.7% to ‐30.3% ‐48.3% to ‐41.7% ‐28.6% to ‐23.8% ‐73,313 to ‐62,001 ‐43.1% to ‐36.5% ‐39,646 to ‐33,942 ‐65.5% to ‐56.1% ‐33,667 to ‐28,059 ‐30.8% to ‐25.6% ‐10,947 to ‐9,364 ‐8,115 to ‐6,998 ‐2,832 to ‐2,366

Seat capacity


Seat capacity

Seat capacity

Seat Capacity (thousand) ‐ Latin America/Caribbean International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 13,804 13,528 13,553 ‐251 ‐1.8% 25 0.2% 13,383 5,931 5,931 5,931 5,931 5,931 ‐7,873 ‐57.0% ‐7,621 ‐56.2% ‐7,452 ‐55.7%
February 12,228 12,396 12,543 315 2.6% 147 1.2% 12,292 5,721 5,721 5,634 5,540 5,913 ‐6,688 to ‐6,507 ‐54.7% to ‐53.2% ‐7,003 to ‐6,822 ‐55.8% to ‐54.4% ‐6,752 to ‐6,571 ‐54.9% to ‐53.5%
March 13,495 13,244 9,676 ‐3,820 ‐28.3% ‐3,569 ‐26.9% 12,936 6,850 6,850 6,557 6,420 8,611 ‐7,076 to ‐6,646 ‐52.4% to ‐49.2% ‐3,256 to ‐2,826 ‐33.7% to ‐29.2% ‐6,516 to ‐6,086 ‐50.4% to ‐47.0%
April 12,170 12,539 840 ‐11,331 ‐93.1% ‐11,700 ‐93.3% 12,809 7,625 6,993 7,055 6,771 10,516 ‐5,400 to ‐4,546 ‐44.4% to ‐37.3% 5,931 to 6,785 706.1% to 807.8% ‐6,038 to ‐5,184 ‐47.1% to ‐40.5%
May 11,787 12,242 906 ‐10,881 ‐92.3% ‐11,336 ‐92.6% 12,632 8,436 7,311 7,532 7,004 10,801 ‐4,783 to ‐3,351 ‐40.6% to ‐28.4% 6,098 to 7,530 673.0% to 831.1% ‐5,627 to ‐4,195 ‐44.5% to ‐33.2%
June 11,834 12,226 1,253 ‐10,580 ‐89.4% ‐10,972 ‐89.7% 12,508 9,333 7,921 8,188 7,250 11,380 ‐4,584 to ‐2,501 ‐38.7% to ‐21.1% 5,997 to 8,079 478.5% to 644.7% ‐5,258 to ‐3,175 ‐42.0% to ‐25.4%
July 12,806 13,103 2,371 ‐10,434 ‐81.5% ‐10,732 ‐81.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 12,203 12,642 2,607 ‐9,596 ‐78.6% ‐10,035 ‐79.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 10,491 11,018 2,364 ‐8,127 ‐77.5% ‐8,654 ‐78.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 10,906 10,820 3,373 ‐7,533 ‐69.1% ‐7,446 ‐68.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 11,631 11,459 4,483 ‐7,149 ‐61.5% ‐6,977 ‐60.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 13,268 13,108 6,332 ‐6,936 ‐52.3% ‐6,776 ‐51.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 39,527 39,168 35,772 ‐3,756 ‐9.5% ‐3,396 ‐8.7% 38,611 18,502 18,502 18,123 17,891 20,456 ‐21,636 to ‐21,025 ‐54.7% to ‐53.2% ‐17,880 to ‐17,270 ‐50.0% to ‐48.3% ‐20,720 to ‐20,109 ‐53.7% to ‐52.1%
2Q 35,791 37,007 2,999 ‐32,792 ‐91.6% ‐34,007 ‐91.9% 37,948 25,394 22,225 22,775 21,025 32,697 ‐14,766 to ‐10,398 ‐41.3% to ‐29.1% 18,026 to 22,394 601.0% to 746.7% ‐16,924 to ‐12,555 ‐44.6% to ‐33.1%
3Q 35,499 36,763 7,342 ‐28,157 ‐79.3% ‐29,421 ‐80.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 35,805 35,387 14,188 ‐21,617 ‐60.4% ‐21,199 ‐59.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 146,623 148,324 60,301 ‐86,322 ‐58.9% ‐88,024 ‐59.3% 76,559 43,896 40,728 40,898 38,916 53,153 ‐36,402 to ‐31,423 ‐48.3% to ‐41.7% 145 to 5,125 0.4% to 13.2% ‐37,643 to ‐32,664 ‐49.2% to ‐42.7%
Seat Capacity (thousand) ‐ Latin America/Caribbean Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 24,114 24,956 25,216 1,102 4.6% 260 1.0% 25,656 15,508 15,508 15,508 15,508 15,508 ‐8,606 ‐35.7% ‐9,708 ‐38.5% ‐10,148 ‐39.6%
February 21,147 22,459 22,623 1,476 7.0% 164 0.7% 22,930 14,315 14,315 14,135 13,899 15,096 ‐7,248 to ‐6,833 ‐34.3% to ‐32.3% ‐8,724 to ‐8,308 ‐38.6% to ‐36.7% ‐9,031 to ‐8,615 ‐39.4% to ‐37.6%
March 22,641 24,259 17,082 ‐5,559 ‐24.6% ‐7,177 ‐29.6% 25,444 16,822 16,822 16,377 16,267 19,460 ‐6,374 to ‐5,819 ‐28.2% to ‐25.7% ‐816 to ‐260 ‐4.8% to ‐1.5% ‐9,178 to ‐8,622 ‐36.1% to ‐33.9%
April 21,848 23,093 1,968 ‐19,880 ‐91.0% ‐21,125 ‐91.5% 24,169 17,030 16,189 16,245 15,917 21,536 ‐5,932 to ‐4,818 ‐27.1% to ‐22.1% 13,949 to 15,062 708.8% to 765.4% ‐8,253 to ‐7,140 ‐34.1% to ‐29.5%
May 22,480 23,870 2,070 ‐20,410 ‐90.8% ‐21,801 ‐91.3% 24,414 18,335 17,149 17,305 16,611 22,022 ‐5,869 to ‐4,145 ‐26.1% to ‐18.4% 14,542 to 16,265 702.6% to 785.9% ‐7,802 to ‐6,079 ‐32.0% to ‐24.9%
June 21,790 23,587 3,536 ‐18,254 ‐83.8% ‐20,052 ‐85.0% 25,010 20,065 18,670 18,748 17,526 21,497 ‐4,263 to ‐1,725 ‐19.6% to ‐7.9% 13,991 to 16,529 395.7% to 467.5% ‐7,484 to ‐4,945 ‐29.9% to ‐19.8%
July 24,528 25,562 5,873 ‐18,655 ‐76.1% ‐19,689 ‐77.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 23,629 24,403 7,199 ‐16,430 ‐69.5% ‐17,204 ‐70.5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 22,474 23,421 8,899 ‐13,575 ‐60.4% ‐14,522 ‐62.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 23,498 24,469 12,126 ‐11,372 ‐48.4% ‐12,343 ‐50.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 22,866 23,632 13,746 ‐9,119 ‐39.9% ‐9,885 ‐41.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 24,326 25,030 16,252 ‐8,074 ‐33.2% ‐8,778 ‐35.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 67,903 71,674 64,922 ‐2,981 ‐4.4% ‐6,752 ‐9.4% 74,030 46,645 46,645 46,020 45,674 50,064 ‐22,229 to ‐21,258 ‐32.7% to ‐31.3% ‐19,248 to ‐18,277 ‐29.6% to ‐28.2% ‐28,356 to ‐27,385 ‐38.3% to ‐37.0%
2Q 66,118 70,550 7,573 ‐58,545 ‐88.5% ‐62,977 ‐89.3% 73,593 55,429 52,008 52,298 50,054 65,055 ‐16,064 to ‐10,689 ‐24.3% to ‐16.2% 42,481 to 47,856 560.9% to 631.9% ‐23,539 to ‐18,164 ‐32.0% to ‐24.7%
3Q 70,631 73,385 21,971 ‐48,660 ‐68.9% ‐51,415 ‐70.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 70,689 73,131 42,124 ‐28,565 ‐40.4% ‐31,007 ‐42.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 275,341 288,741 136,590 ‐138,751 ‐50.4% ‐152,151 ‐52.7% 147,623 102,074 98,653 98,318 95,728 115,119 ‐38,293 to ‐31,947 ‐28.6% to ‐23.8% 23,233 to 29,579 32.0% to 40.8% ‐51,895 to ‐45,549 ‐35.2% to ‐30.9%

Passenger number


Passenger number

Passenger number

Passenger Number (thousand) ‐ Latin America/Caribbean International
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 10,926 10,751 10,875 ‐51 ‐0.5% 124 1.1% 10,657 3,056 3,056 3,056 3,056 3,056 ‐7,870 ‐72.0% ‐7,818 ‐71.9% ‐7,600 ‐71.3%
February 9,534 9,706 9,652 118 1.2% ‐54 ‐0.6% 9,644 3,033 3,033 2,913 2,790 3,276 ‐6,744 to ‐6,501 ‐70.7% to ‐68.2% ‐6,862 to ‐6,619 ‐71.1% to ‐68.6% ‐6,853 to ‐6,611 ‐71.1% to ‐68.5%
March 10,830 10,670 6,066 ‐4,764 ‐44.0% ‐4,605 ‐43.2% 10,438 3,949 3,720 3,632 3,377 5,166 ‐7,453 to ‐6,882 ‐68.8% to ‐63.5% ‐2,688 to ‐2,117 ‐44.3% to ‐34.9% ‐7,061 to ‐6,490 ‐67.6% to ‐62.2%
April 9,833 10,171 275 ‐9,558 ‐97.2% ‐9,897 ‐97.3% 10,408 4,682 3,835 4,064 3,598 6,705 ‐6,234 to ‐5,151 ‐63.4% to ‐52.4% 3,324 to 4,407 1210.9% to 1605.5% ‐6,810 to ‐5,726 ‐65.4% to ‐55.0%
May 9,569 9,976 299 ‐9,270 ‐96.9% ‐9,677 ‐97.0% 10,311 5,443 4,219 4,519 3,842 7,223 ‐5,727 to ‐4,126 ‐59.8% to ‐43.1% 3,543 to 5,144 1184.9% to 1720.3% ‐6,469 to ‐4,868 ‐62.7% to ‐47.2%
June 9,808 10,168 554 ‐9,253 ‐94.3% ‐9,614 ‐94.5% 10,418 6,395 4,880 5,256 4,190 8,061 ‐5,618 to ‐3,413 ‐57.3% to ‐34.8% 3,635 to 5,841 655.6% to 1053.4% ‐6,228 to ‐4,023 ‐59.8% to ‐38.6%
July 10,759 11,055 988 ‐9,771 ‐90.8% ‐10,067 ‐91.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 10,182 10,587 1,155 ‐9,027 ‐88.7% ‐9,432 ‐89.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 8,413 8,868 970 ‐7,443 ‐88.5% ‐7,898 ‐89.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 8,630 8,599 1,460 ‐7,170 ‐83.1% ‐7,139 ‐83.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 9,239 9,139 2,129 ‐7,110 ‐77.0% ‐7,010 ‐76.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 10,726 10,641 3,228 ‐7,498 ‐69.9% ‐7,413 ‐69.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 31,290 31,127 26,592 ‐4,698 ‐15.0% ‐4,535 ‐14.6% 30,738 10,038 9,809 9,601 9,224 11,498 ‐22,066 to ‐21,252 ‐70.5% to ‐67.9% ‐17,368 to ‐16,554 ‐65.3% to ‐62.3% ‐21,514 to ‐20,700 ‐70.0% to ‐67.3%
2Q 29,210 30,316 1,128 ‐28,082 ‐96.1% ‐29,188 ‐96.3% 31,137 16,520 12,935 13,839 11,630 21,989 ‐17,580 to ‐12,690 ‐60.2% to ‐43.4% 10,502 to 15,392 931.0% to 1364.6% ‐19,507 to ‐14,617 ‐62.6% to ‐46.9%
3Q 29,354 30,510 3,113 ‐26,240 ‐89.4% ‐27,397 ‐89.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
4Q 28,595 28,378 6,817 ‐21,778 ‐76.2% ‐21,562 ‐76.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total 118,449 120,332 37,650 ‐80,799 ‐68.2% ‐82,682 ‐68.7% 61,875 26,558 22,744 23,440 20,854 33,487 ‐39,646 to ‐33,942 ‐65.5% to ‐56.1% ‐6,866 to ‐1,162 ‐24.8% to ‐4.2% ‐41,021 to ‐35,317 ‐66.3% to ‐57.1%
Passenger Number (thousand) ‐ Latin America/Caribbean Domestic
Year 2019 2020 2021
Month Actual Baseline Estimated Compared to 2019 Compared to Baseline Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 1a Scenario 2 Scenario 2a Reference Compared to 2019 Compared to 2020 Compared to Baseline
a b c c‐a c/a‐1 c‐b c/b‐1 d e ‐ e‐a e/a‐1 e‐c e/a‐1 e‐d e/d‐1
January 19,917 20,745 21,133 1,216 6.1% 387 1.9% 21,486 12,412 12,412 12,412 12,412 12,412 ‐7,505 ‐37.7% ‐8,721 ‐41.3% ‐9,074 ‐42.2%
February 17,247 18,438 18,315 1,067 6.2% ‐124 ‐0.7% 18,963 11,335 11,335 11,181 10,982 12,184 ‐6,266 to ‐5,912 ‐36.3% to ‐34.3% ‐7,333 to ‐6,979 ‐40.0% to ‐38.1% ‐7,982 to ‐7,628 ‐42.1% to ‐40.2%
March 18,253 19,692 11,898 ‐6,355 ‐34.8% ‐7,794 ‐39.6% 20,813 13,217 12,998 12,817 12,701 15,594 ‐5,552 to ‐5,036 ‐30.4% to ‐27.6% 803 to 1,319 6.7% to 11.1% ‐8,112 to ‐7,596 ‐39.0% to ‐36.5%
April 17,724 18,860 1,255 ‐16,469 ‐92.9% ‐17,605 ‐93.3% 19,885 13,508 12,590 12,813 12,507 17,413 ‐5,217 to ‐4,215 ‐29.4% to ‐23.8% 11,252 to 12,253 896.5% to 976.3% ‐7,378 to ‐6,376 ‐37.1% to ‐32.1%
May 18,376 19,645 1,534 ‐16,843 ‐91.7% ‐18,112 ‐92.2% 20,241 14,693 13,486 13,779 13,170 17,990 ‐5,207 to ‐3,683 ‐28.3% to ‐20.0% 11,636 to 13,160 758.8% to 858.2% ‐7,072 to ‐5,548 ‐34.9% to ‐27.4%
June 17,902 19,510 2,607 ‐15,295 ‐85.4% ‐16,903 ‐86.6% 20,842 16,195 14,802 15,036 13,982 17,686 ‐3,920 to ‐1,708 ‐21.9% to ‐9.5% 11,374 to 13,587 436.2% to 521.1% ‐6,860 to ‐4,647 ‐32.9% to ‐22.3%
July 20,657 21,676 4,176 ‐16,481 ‐79.8% ‐17,499 ‐80.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
August 19,314 20,085 5,293 ‐14,021 ‐72.6% ‐14,793 ‐73.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
September 18,086 18,979 7,103 ‐10,983 ‐60.7% ‐11,876 ‐62.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
October 19,307 20,231 9,642 ‐9,665 ‐50.1% ‐10,589 ‐52.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
November 18,622 19,372 11,379 ‐7,242 ‐38.9% ‐7,993 ‐41.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
December 20,160 20,876 13,149 ‐7,011 ‐34.8% ‐7,728 ‐37.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1Q 55,417 58,876 51,345 ‐4,072 ‐7.3% ‐7,531 ‐12.8% 61,262 36,964 36,745 36,409 36,094 40,190 ‐19,323 to ‐18,453 ‐34.9% to ‐33.3% ‐15,251 to ‐14,381 ‐29.7% to ‐28.0% ‐25,168 to ‐24,298 ‐41.1% to ‐39.7%
2Q 54,002 58,016 5,396 ‐48,606 ‐90.0% ‐52,620 ‐90.7% 60,968 44,396 40,877 41,627 39,658 53,088 ‐14,344 to ‐9,606 ‐26.6% to ‐17.8% 34,262 to 39,000 634.9% to 722.8% ‐21,310 to ‐16,572 ‐35.0% to ‐27.2%
3Q 58,057 60,740 16,572 ‐41,485 ‐71.5% ‐44,168 ‐72.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐